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AEBI

AEBI

AEBI
$12.76USD↓-3.48%-0.46 today

MARKET CAP

989.0M

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$13 – $13

52W RANGE

$9
$16

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

AEBI’s Stage 2 breakout and active Momentum Breakout pattern confirm a bullish medium-term bias supported by rising EMAs and expanding volume. Price is currently extended above the EMAs and tagged overbought, suggesting short-term entries are best on pullbacks into the breakout zone. The intermediate structure favors continuation but carries false-breakout and early distribution risks. The long-term uptrend remains intact.

  • ↑Backlog of $1.26B (+29% YoY) underpins strong revenue conversion.
  • ↑Acquisition synergy target raised to >$40M, boosting 2026 EBITDA.
  • ↓Negative profitability score indicates challenges converting revenue into profit.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) is a prominent entity in the engineering and manufacturing sector, primarily focusing on advanced mobility solutions and equipment for airports, municipalities, and commercial applications. The company has recently undergone strategic integration after acquiring The Shyft Group while listing on NASDAQ, enhancing its operational and market positioning. This transformation aligns Aebi Schmidt with the growing emphasis on sustainability and innovative solutions within its operational sectors, particularly in response to increasing infrastructure demands.

Bull says

  • ↑Backlog of $1.26B (+29% YoY) underpins strong revenue conversion.
  • ↑Acquisition synergy target raised to >$40M, boosting 2026 EBITDA.
  • ↑2026 guidance: $1.95–$2.15B net sales; $175–$195M adj. EBITDA.
  • ↑ServicePRO truck launch expands footprint in municipal and airport sectors.
  • ↑High earnings yield, positive book-to-price and revisions suggest undervaluation.
  • ↑North America growth expected from Q2 2026 supports additional upside.

Bear says

  • ↓Negative profitability score indicates challenges converting revenue into profit.
  • ↓High price volatility and geopolitical uncertainties threaten order stability.
  • ↓Low 13F ownership and weak liquidity may hinder market momentum.
  • ↓Q1 2026 seasonality delay with walk-in van orders risks revenue.
  • ↓Net debt $455M; leveraging cut to <2.0x by 2026 YE poses execution risk.
  • ↓Limited institutional interest and size factors may pressure trading liquidity.

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-20-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • our order intake increased by 9% and order backlog by 23% versus Q1 2025. And net sales reflected an underlying like-for-like growth of 7%.
  • Our adjusted EBITDA increased 6% year-over-year, delivering a significantly higher adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.3% versus 6.9% in the prior year, and net income improved by 7% year over year.
  • In Q1, we launched our new brand architecture, completed key facility ramp-ups and positioned the company to execute on our record backlog of $1.3 billion.
Read full transcript analysis ›