AerCap Holdings NV

The asset is in a Stage 3 Distribution regime with early distribution signals as price fails at resistance and sits below the 9 EMA, 21 EMA, and 50 DMA. Medium-term directional asymmetry favors the downside, and short-term EMAs are declining with neutral OB/OS context, so execution should focus on sell-side engagement now on rejection into the EMA/50 DMA cluster rather than waiting for a deeper breakdown.

• ↑Q1 net income $818m ($4.96/share), 19% ROE underpins earnings power
• ↑Backlog grew by 110 aircraft; portfolio lease extension rate at 87%
• ↓Jet fuel at elevated levels may pressure airline margins and demand