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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

AMR
$143.80USD↓-0.98%-1.42 today

MARKET CAP

1.8B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

7.4x

DAY RANGE

$142 – $145

52W RANGE

$113
$254

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

AMR remains entrenched in a Stage 4 decline with a persistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows under declining EMAs and SMAs, trading at extreme oversold levels. A Bearish Exhaustion pattern suggests fleeting seller fatigue but lacks sustained follow-through, and price is extended below and rejecting the 9EMA/21EMA resistance zone. Medium- and long-term biases remain bearish; execution should be deferred, trimming into any relief rallies near the EMA resistance zone rather than initiating at current levels.

  • ↑Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA rose to $30M from $28.5M in Q4 2025
  • ↑Coal sales cost improved to ~$100/ton from $110/ton last quarter
  • ↓Negative profitability factors; net loss of $382M in Q1 2026
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is a prominent player in the metallurgical coal industry, producing high-quality coal primarily for steel production. Positioned within a volatile commodity sector, Alpha navigates the intricacies of global energy markets and geopolitical dynamics, particularly influenced by ongoing challenges related to steel demand and inflation. The company operates several mines and is focused on optimizing its operations amidst these pressures, presenting both significant opportunities and risks in a context of fluctuating demand and pricing.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA rose to $30M from $28.5M in Q4 2025
  • ↑Coal sales cost improved to ~$100/ton from $110/ton last quarter
  • ↑Kingston Wildcat project to deliver ~500K tons this year
  • ↑Liquidity at $476.2M offers buffer against market swings
  • ↑High earnings yield and strong book-to-price signal deep value
  • ↑Potential policy support for critical-mineral coal could boost margins

Bear says

  • ↓Negative profitability factors; net loss of $382M in Q1 2026
  • ↓$34.7B debt load heightens sensitivity to cost inflation
  • ↓Analyst revisions trending downward, dimming earnings outlook
  • ↓Weak steel demand and geopolitical cost pressures squeeze prices
  • ↓Low institutional ownership and small-size risk could amplify volatility
  • ↓Cost per ton remains above $100, limiting margin upside

Investment themes with AMR

Coal↑ +1.26%

Coal mining and energy production companies

BHP · BTU · ARLP
Most Shorted Stocks↑ +0.54%

Stocks with highest short interest

LITE · FSLY · SPHR

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-08-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $30 million, up from $28.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • Met segment realizations increased quarter over quarter, with an average realization of $124.39 in the first quarter, up from $115.31 in Q4.
  • The realization for our metallurgical sales in the first quarter was a total weighted average of $128.40 per ton, up from $118.10 per ton in Q4.

Bear points

  • The development of war-related inflationary impacts on diesel and other supplies was not included in our projections, but this put additional pressure on our cost of coal sales, which came in at $108 for the quarter.
  • However, if the Iranian conflict and its resulting inflationary impacts persist, we will likely adjust our cost guidance upward.
  • down from 3.8 million tons in Q4.
Read full transcript analysis ›