The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
América Móvil (NYSE: AMX) is a leading telecommunications provider in Latin America, offering mobile, fixed-line, and broadband services across multiple countries. The company is strategically positioned in the rapidly evolving telecom landscape, investing in fiber and expanding its service offerings to capture key market opportunities, particularly in mobile broadband and enterprise solutions.
Bull says
- ↑Forecasts call for 9.4% annual EPS growth and 3.7% revenue rise amid digital investments
- ↑Q4 2025 added 2.5 million wireless subs, postpaid up 8.4% YoY driving ARPU
- ↑2026 CapEx of ~$7 billion and $1.4 billion buybacks balance growth and returns
- ↑Q1 2026 revenue 237 bn pesos (+2.1% YoY) and net income 23.4 bn pesos (+25% YoY)
- ↑EBITDA margin at 40% with net debt/EBITDA 1.41x indicates solid leverage
- ↑Expanding fiber network in Mexico, Colombia and Brazil to boost broadband share
Bear says
- ↓MVNOs’ promotional pricing pressures ARPU and margins across prepaid services
- ↓New Mexican registration rules could temporarily slow new activations
- ↓Peso volatility hinders revenue stability and can dent profit margins
- ↓Prepaid revenues remain sensitive to macro slowdowns and consumer spending
- ↓Net debt/EBITDA of 1.41x requires disciplined cash flow management
- ↓Low liquidity and declining institutional ownership limit share attractiveness
Investment themes with AMX
Nearshoring hub driving manufacturing and consumer growth
Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- First quarter revenue was up 2.1% in Mexican peso terms to $237 billion pesos, with service revenue up 0.6%, equipment revenue 7.4%, and other revenue 108%, including the proceeds of a federal ruling in Chile on account of a dispute around self-contained rights.
- EBITDA increased nearly twice the peso revenue at 3.8%.
- At constant exchange rates, revenue rose 6%, 6.1% on the back of a 4.6% increase in service revenue and 11.3% in equipment revenue, driving an 8% expansion in EBITDA.
Bear points
- Our financial debt, which was 137 billion pesos at the end of March, has increased by 2.5 billion pesos since the end of December.