Lumida
/ASIX
⌘K
AdvanSix Inc

AdvanSix Inc

ASIX
$20.79USD↑+0.14%+0.03 today

MARKET CAP

560.5M

P/E (TTM)

24.5x

FWD P/E

14.1x

DAY RANGE

$21 – $21

52W RANGE

$14
$27

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

The asset is in a clear Stage 4 decline with downtrends across both long and short timeframes, and EMAs are acting as strong resistance. Mean reversion is not eligible, so we favor bearish medium-term bias, but oversold extension and extreme OS readings make immediate selling unfavorable. Instead, we will look to trim on tactical rallies into the declining EMAs and key resistance zones.

  • ↑Q1 2026 revenue reached $404M, up 7% YoY on chemical intermediates volume growth.
  • ↑Entering DEF market to meet growing EPA compliance demand and reduce import reliance.
  • ↓Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA tumbled to $5M, down $47M YoY, highlighting margin pressure.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is a leading integrated chemistry company based in the United States, specializing in the production of chemical intermediates, nylon, and plant nutrients. The company operates within the chemicals sector and serves diverse end markets, including agriculture and automotive industries, by leveraging its vertically integrated manufacturing processes. AdvanSix is positioned to benefit from increasing agricultural demand and is actively involved in sustainability efforts, particularly through its expansions into the diesel exhaust fluid (DEF) market, which reflects a growing focus on environmentally compliant products.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 2026 revenue reached $404M, up 7% YoY on chemical intermediates volume growth.
  • ↑Entering DEF market to meet growing EPA compliance demand and reduce import reliance.
  • ↑2026 CapEx guided at $75–95M, prioritizing high-return ammonia platform expansions.
  • ↑Strong asset backing shown by high book-to-price ratio provides investor margin of safety.
  • ↑Positive analyst revisions and low short interest signal improving earnings sentiment.
  • ↑Elevated oil price sensitivity positions AdvanSix to benefit from rising crude costs.

Bear says

  • ↓Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA tumbled to $5M, down $47M YoY, highlighting margin pressure.
  • ↓Q1 net loss of $15.5M versus prior-year profit underscores weak profitability.
  • ↓Soft nylon demand and volatile sulfur and natural gas costs challenge growth.
  • ↓Continued $75–95M CapEx commitment may strain cash flow without corresponding returns.
  • ↓Negative earnings yield and weak profitability factors deter potential investors.
  • ↓High sensitivity to interest rates and raw-material volatility heightens stock risk.

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-13-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • In the quarter, we generated 7% sales growth year over year, supported by improvements in chemical intermediates volume and plant nutrients market pricing
  • Looking ahead, we anticipate significant sequential earnings and cash flow improvement into the second quarter
  • We also continue to expect debt leverage ratios near the low end of our target range of one to two and a half times by the end of this year

Bear points

  • Buying has become more cautious given continued challenge fundamentals, including farmer profitability and input affordability, cold weather to start the spring, and drought conditions
  • sulfur input costs versus the sulfur value proposition we deliver to farmers
  • Buying has become more cautious given continued challenge fundamentals, including farmer profitability and input affordability, cold weather to start the spring, and drought conditions
Read full transcript analysis ›