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/BALL
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Ball Corp

Ball Corp

BALL
$62.71USD↓-0.70%-0.44 today

MARKET CAP

16.7B

P/E (TTM)

16.6x

FWD P/E

14.6x

DAY RANGE

$62 – $64

52W RANGE

$45
$68

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowHigh

BALL is in a Stage 2 advancing regime underpinned by a dominant Lockout Rally, with price accepted above rising short-term EMAs and shallow pullbacks indicating sustained demand. Medium-term bias remains bullish, supported by clear HH/HL structure and EMA support, while overbought conditions are mitigated by lockout dynamics. The active lockout rally override favors immediate participation on pullbacks into the 9/21 EMA zone, aligning with our Growth at Reasonable Price discipline.

  • ↑Comparable diluted EPS jumped 22% YoY to $0.94 in Q1, showing strong execution
  • ↑Q1 revenue increased 9% YoY to $3.8 B on rising sustainable packaging demand
  • ↓Raw material inflation and $35 M startup costs have squeezed operating margins
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) is a leading provider of aluminum packaging solutions, primarily serving the beverage industry. The company is at the forefront of the growing global demand for sustainable packaging, especially as consumers increasingly prefer aluminum cans over traditional glass and plastic packaging. Ball's competitive strengths include extensive manufacturing capabilities, strategic partnerships with key customers, and a commitment to operational excellence, positioning it well amidst evolving market dynamics.

Bull says

  • ↑Comparable diluted EPS jumped 22% YoY to $0.94 in Q1, showing strong execution
  • ↑Q1 revenue increased 9% YoY to $3.8 B on rising sustainable packaging demand
  • ↑Pricing power enables immediate pass-through of aluminum cost inflation
  • ↑Free cash flow is projected above $900 M, with $800 M planned returns in 2026
  • ↑Analyst consensus target of $71.50 implies roughly 17% upside
  • ↑High earnings yield, robust dividend yield, manageable leverage and low volatility

Bear says

  • ↓Raw material inflation and $35 M startup costs have squeezed operating margins
  • ↓Geopolitical tensions and broad inflation risk may compress profit if not passed through
  • ↓North America volume growth forecast at low end of 1–3% until Millersburg opens
  • ↓High sensitivity to interest rates increases financial risk amid tightening
  • ↓Weak profitability metrics and negative growth signal potential operational inefficiencies
  • ↓Declining institutional ownership suggests skepticism on long-term earnings sustainability

Investment themes with BALL

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Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-09-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • We believe Ball is positioned to win, and the fundamentals supporting that belief remain firmly in place.
  • Packaged liquid volume is continuing to grow globally and aluminum cans are taking share as consumers, customers, and retailers increasingly prioritize convenience, performance, and sustainability.
  • We delivered solid results to start 2026, supported by a healthy balance sheet and a capital allocation framework grounded in EBA.

Bear points

  • The market will be what it will be, and we just know that we need to be operationally excellent to compete in it, highlighting potential pressures from competition.
  • we anticipate $35 million of startup costs related to the Millersburg facility and U.S. domestication of inns to begin later this year, which represent a near-term headwind.
  • Volumes declined mid single-digit percent year-over-year reflecting customer timing and inventory position coming into the quarter.
Read full transcript analysis ›