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BigBear.ai Holdings Inc

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc

BBAI
$2.84USD↓-2.74%-0.08 today

MARKET CAP

1.4B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$3 – $3

52W RANGE

$3
$9

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimHigh

BBAI remains in a Stage 4 decline with a confirmed support failure and successive lower highs and lower lows under downward-sloping EMAs. Price is extended below the 9/21/50 EMA ribbon in extreme oversold territory with no exhaustion visible. Medium-term bias is bearish with high conviction. Short-term execution readiness is neutral due to lack of a clear resistance test; defer sell-side entries until relief rallies approach the declining EMAs for trimming against overhead resistance.

  • ↑Pangiam Threat Detection cleared Netherlands airport security approval
  • ↑Reduced $124.6M of $142M convertible debt, boosting liquidity
  • ↓Q1 earnings yield at -2.52% and profitability score -1.26 signal return challenges
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) is an emerging player specializing in AI-driven solutions tailored for national security and commercial sectors. Focusing on mission-critical technologies, BigBear.ai leverages its expertise to enhance operational capabilities for government and commercial clients, making it a key actor in the evolving landscape of defense and security technology.

Bull says

  • ↑Pangiam Threat Detection cleared Netherlands airport security approval
  • ↑Reduced $124.6M of $142M convertible debt, boosting liquidity
  • ↑Backlog up 14% YoY to $282M on new major contracts
  • ↑FY26 revenue guidance set at $135–165M, implying ~17% growth
  • ↑Cash reserves of ~$431M support ongoing expansion initiatives
  • ↑Favorable U.S. defense budgets amid rising geopolitical tensions

Bear says

  • ↓Q1 earnings yield at -2.52% and profitability score -1.26 signal return challenges
  • ↓Short interest score >4.68 reflects strong bearish sentiment
  • ↓Reliance on government contracts risks pauses in funding and deliveries
  • ↓SG&A spending rose 28.8% YoY, pressuring margins
  • ↓High leverage and weak QS scores indicate a fragile balance sheet
  • ↓Intense AI competition from Palantir, C3.ai and defense giants

Investment themes with BBAI

Defense Tech↓ -0.44%

LMT · RTX · GD

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-09-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • On our last earnings call, I underscored that the Big Bear AI growth strategy builds upon our strengths as a specialized defense and security technology company delivering mission-ready AI.
  • We entered 2026 in a much improved position to take advantage of tailwinds.
  • we signed a large classified sole source contract with an intelligence community customer that we are executing now and will continue over the next two years.

Bear points

  • Our net loss for the first quarter of 2026 was $56.8 million versus a net loss of about $62 million in the comparable period. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA was primarily driven by increased investment in sales and go-to-market capabilities and investment in research and development.
  • Our net loss for the first quarter of 2026 was $56.8 million versus a net loss of about $62 million in the comparable period. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA was primarily driven by increased investment in sales and go-to-market capabilities and investment in research and development.
Read full transcript analysis ›