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Peabody Energy Corp

Peabody Energy Corp

BTU
$22.44USD↓-0.80%-0.18 today

MARKET CAP

2.7B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

7.5x

DAY RANGE

$22 – $23

52W RANGE

$14
$41

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

BTU remains in a Stage 4 decline with an active Lower Highs & Lower Lows pattern. Price trades below declining 9/21 EMA and 50 SMA, and recent relief rallies into EMA resistance zones have failed to gain traction on volume. Oversold context has not produced exhaustion, affirming bearish execution readiness under a momentum-oriented strategy that favors selling into failed rallies at EMA resistance.

  • ↑Ended Q1 with ~$500 M cash and >$850 M total liquidity.
  • ↑Seaborne thermal shipments reached 3 Mt, export prices up 5% QoQ.
  • ↓Centurion mine forecast lowered to 2.5 Mt from 3.5 Mt.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE: BTU) is a leading global coal producer, focusing on both thermal and metallurgical coal markets across diverse geographical locations, including the U.S. and Asia. The company is strategically positioned to benefit from an ongoing recovery in electricity demand and market trends influenced by geopolitical events. Peabody is also actively exploring opportunities in critical minerals, which aligns with broader industry shifts towards sustainability and resource diversification.

Bull says

  • ↑Ended Q1 with ~$500 M cash and >$850 M total liquidity.
  • ↑Seaborne thermal shipments reached 3 Mt, export prices up 5% QoQ.
  • ↑Wyoming Energy Authority grant funds rare earth pilot plant.
  • ↑Centurion mine expected to return to full output in H2 2026.
  • ↑Robust coal demand from electricity generation and Asian markets.
  • ↑High book-to-price ratio and strong growth-momentum factors signal undervaluation.

Bear says

  • ↓Centurion mine forecast lowered to 2.5 Mt from 3.5 Mt.
  • ↓Revisions score negative, indicating declining earnings expectations.
  • ↓Ongoing securities lawsuits over alleged misleading Centurion statements.
  • ↓Diesel and freight cost rises compress margins by $6 M EBITDA per $10 oil move.
  • ↓High short interest and weak 13F ownership reflect institutional skepticism.
  • ↓Weak profitability metrics and negative earnings yield pressure returns.

Investment themes with BTU

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-08-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • we share your outlook for the business. certainly when Centurion comes back online or gets online at full production rates in the second half of the year, there will be a substantial amount of free cash flow in that second half of the year.
  • In the first quarter, we reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $32.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, while delivering adjusted EBITDA of $82.5 million. Results were underpinned by outstanding performance from our Seabourn thermal platform, which benefited from higher realized prices and strong demand from Asian markets.
  • Realized export prices averaged $86.25 per ton, up more than 5% from the prior quarter, driven by higher Asian demand amid elevated LNG prices in the latter part of the quarter.

Bear points

  • there's a significant, almost unlimited market in terms of what the PRB can produce and move as far as demand because of the, you know, the comparably very favorable comparison to Indonesian quality coal, which is big on the export market. So the opportunity is significant.
  • With the continuation of the Middle East conflict, we increased expected full-year PRB costs 50 cents per ton to reflect the current forward curve.
  • We also increased seaborne thermal cost guidance by $2 per ton to reflect the current price strip.
Read full transcript analysis ›