Carrier Global Corp

CARR is in a Stage 3 distribution regime after a parabolic peak and failed rally, with overhead supply pressure from an active Post-Parabola Collapse pattern. The medium-term bias is bearish, reinforced by price trading below the 9, 20, and 50 EMAs and repeated rejections at moving-average resistance. Short-term timing is unfavorable for bullish engagement, as price forms lower highs/lower lows with RSI declining. Execution favors selling now into rallies at the 9/20 EMA and prior support zone acting as resistance.

• ↑Total orders rose 11%, led by +35% commercial HVAC and +500% data-center demand
• ↑$1B free cash flow in H1 2026 highlights strong cash management
• ↓CSA residential sales fell 12% and organic residential revenue down 3%