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Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc

Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc

CON
$31.61USD↓-0.09%-0.03 today

MARKET CAP

4.0B

P/E (TTM)

22.0x

FWD P/E

19.5x

DAY RANGE

$31 – $32

52W RANGE

$19
$32

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

CON has formed a Blow-Off Top in early July, marked by an extended upper wick and volume spike rejected at resistance. The short-term bias turned bearish as price failed to hold above the rising EMA cluster and pulled back on increasing volume. Medium-term structure shows waning momentum and a terminal pattern signaling unsustainable buying pressure. Long-term uptrend remains intact but is overshadowed by immediate exhaustion, supporting a Sell Now posture at current resistance.

  • ↑Q1 revenue up 13.7% YoY to $569.6M; adjusted EBITDA $120.7M (+17.6%) for 21.2% margin.
  • ↑EPS $0.40 vs $0.33 prior; free cash flow turned positive at $9.9M from –$4M.
  • ↓$1.58B debt; net leverage 3.4× risks profit sensitivity to rates.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (NASDAQ: CON) is a dominant player in the occupational health services sector, specializing in workers’ compensation treatment and employer health services. The company operates through a network of clinics across the United States, offering a broad range of integrated health solutions aimed at enhancing healthcare efficiency for America's workforce. With a focus on operational efficiency, growth through acquisitions, and expanding service offerings, Concentra is strategically positioned to benefit from rising demand in the healthcare sector as companies increasingly prioritize employee health and well-being amid evolving labor market dynamics.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 revenue up 13.7% YoY to $569.6M; adjusted EBITDA $120.7M (+17.6%) for 21.2% margin.
  • ↑EPS $0.40 vs $0.33 prior; free cash flow turned positive at $9.9M from –$4M.
  • ↑Plans 8–10 new centers; 54,000+ patient visits/day; NOVA/Pivot integrations boost scale.
  • ↑Repurchased 661k shares for $15M; maintains $0.0625 quarterly dividend reflecting cash confidence.
  • ↑Positive earnings yield, strong revisions, solid momentum; Mizuho target $30 signals upside.
  • ↑Operational efficiency and margin expansion drive profitability gains.

Bear says

  • ↓$1.58B debt; net leverage 3.4× risks profit sensitivity to rates.
  • ↓One‐time integration costs from NOVA/Pivot may drag margins near term.
  • ↓Rising competition in occupational health could erode market share gains.
  • ↓Employment slowdowns could curb visit volumes and revenue growth.
  • ↓Profitability factor weak; high operational costs pressure margin sustainability.
  • ↓Negative growth and dividend factors, elevated short interest reflect bearish sentiment.

Investment themes with CON

Health Care Providers↓ -0.61%

UNH · CVS · HCA

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-10-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • In our occupational health operating segment, total revenue of $519.9 million in Q1 2026 was 9.9% higher than the same quarter of the prior year.
  • Workers' compensation revenue of $337.7 million in Q1 2026 was 11.8% higher than prior year.
  • Employer services revenue of $172.4 million increased 7.6% in Q1 2026 from prior year.
Read full transcript analysis ›