Lumida
/CVI
⌘K
CVR Energy Inc

CVR Energy Inc

CVI
$35.13USD↑+4.99%+1.67 today

MARKET CAP

3.5B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

17.7x

DAY RANGE

$34 – $35

52W RANGE

$20
$42

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

CVI remains in a Stage 2 advance with bullish medium-term structure confirmed by higher highs and higher lows. However, price is extended above the rising short-term EMAs with overbought RSI and elevated Options Score, reducing immediate execution favorability. We will look to engage selectively on shallow pullbacks into the 9- and 21-period EMAs within the context of the advancing momentum strategy.

  • ↑Crude at 97% and ammonia at 103% utilization shows strong operations
  • ↑Fertilizer segment delivered $78M adjusted EBITDA, up 47% YoY
  • ↓Q1 consolidated net loss of $160M and $52M EBITDA loss signals weak profitability
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE: CVI) is a leading player in the energy sector, primarily focused on crude oil refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. The company is strategically positioned to leverage market volatility caused by geopolitical tensions, which have disrupted global supply chains. With operations concentrated in the MidCon region, CVR has been adapting its strategies to improve margin capture in an evolving marketplace while expressing commitment to balancing capital returns and debt reduction.

Bull says

  • ↑Crude at 97% and ammonia at 103% utilization shows strong operations
  • ↑Fertilizer segment delivered $78M adjusted EBITDA, up 47% YoY
  • ↑Geopolitical volatility boosts pricing power in energy and fertilizer markets
  • ↑Reinstated $0.10 dividend underscores focus on shareholder returns
  • ↑High oil-price sensitivity positions CVR to benefit from inflationary cycles
  • ↑Strong value factors: high earnings yield and book-to-price suggest undervaluation

Bear says

  • ↓Q1 consolidated net loss of $160M and $52M EBITDA loss signals weak profitability
  • ↓RIN costs more than doubled, reducing capture rate by ~34% and inflating operating expenses
  • ↓Negative profitability and balance sheet health factors point to operational inefficiencies
  • ↓Broker consensus is “Strong Sell,” reflecting poor market sentiment
  • ↓Target to reduce gross leverage to $1B is challenging amid ongoing losses and capex
  • ↓Negative dividend yield factor limits value return despite reinstated payout

Investment themes with CVI

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production↓ -0.11%

Upstream hydrocarbon extraction fueling energy markets

COP · EOG · VLO

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-01-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • In the first quarter, our operations performed well with crude utilization of 97% and ammonia plant utilization of 103%.
  • Given the disruptions in global supply chains with loss of production and lack of product movement for refined products and fertilizer, CVR Energy is well positioned to improve our margin capture for the balance of the year.
  • We're pleased to announce the first quarter of 2026 dividend of 10 cents per share, and we believe our prospects should allow for balanced debt reduction and capital returns to shareholders as we move forward.

Bear points

  • While the extent of the damage to refining capacity is still unclear at this point, the larger impact to global refined product markets has been availability of crude oil supplies and the need to curtail refinery runs as a result.
  • The recent events in the Middle East have caused fertilizer markets to tighten even further.
  • While the extent of the damage to refining capacity is still unclear at this point, the larger impact to global refined product markets has been availability of crude oil supplies and the need to curtail refinery runs as a result.
Read full transcript analysis ›