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Dole PLC

Dole PLC

DOLE
$14.42USD↓-0.55%-0.08 today

MARKET CAP

1.4B

P/E (TTM)

12.2x

FWD P/E

9.4x

DAY RANGE

$14 – $15

52W RANGE

$13
$17

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

DOLE remains in a Stage 3 distribution phase with bearish medium-term structure despite a secular uptrend. Price has recently broken above short EMAs but is meeting resistance at the flattening 50- and declining 200-day moving averages. The medium-term directional bias is bearish, and execution should be deferred, trimming into rallies at the overhead MA zone and recent highs. A sustained breakout above the 50/200 DMA region would invalidate this bearish posture.

  • ↑Q1 revenue grew 12% YoY to $2.3B on strong produce demand.
  • ↑Investing ~$100M in automation and infrastructure to target $400M EBITDA by 2026.
  • ↓Net income declined by $6.4M YoY to $37.7M due to higher food sourcing costs.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Dole PLC (NYSE: DOLE) is a global leader in the fresh produce sector, renowned primarily for its bananas, pineapples, and a variety of diversified fruits. Operating in several regions, including the Americas and EMEA, Dole employs a diversified business model which enhances resilience against market fluctuations and allows adaptation to evolving consumer preferences. The company's strategic focus includes quality enhancement, sustainability initiatives, and continuous improvement in operational efficiencies, while navigating challenges arising from geopolitical tensions and rising input costs.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 revenue grew 12% YoY to $2.3B on strong produce demand.
  • ↑Investing ~$100M in automation and infrastructure to target $400M EBITDA by 2026.
  • ↑Pays 2.38% dividend yield and plans potential buybacks for shareholder returns.
  • ↑Adjusted EBITDA from cherries rose 29%, driven by health‐trend momentum.
  • ↑High earnings yield and strong momentum factors signal favorable valuation.
  • ↑Leverage at 0.7x net debt supports growth with manageable debt risk.

Bear says

  • ↓Net income declined by $6.4M YoY to $37.7M due to higher food sourcing costs.
  • ↓Net debt of $657M with 0.7x leverage heightens interest rate risk.
  • ↓Adjusted EBITDA down 4.5% YoY to $100M amid cost pressures.
  • ↓Analysts project only 2.9% earnings growth, consensus 'Reduce' rating.
  • ↓Geopolitical tensions and transport snarls elevate input costs and volatility.
  • ↓Negative profitability and revision factors signal potential earnings stagnation.

Investment themes with DOLE

Food Products↑ +1.00%

ADM · CTVA · KR

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-11-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • group revenue of 2.3 billion was 11.6% higher on a reported basis, reflecting continued positive demand for our products, as well as favourable foreign exchange movements.
  • Revenue increased 16%, driven by higher volumes and pricing in our Southern Hemisphere export business, as well as by higher volumes in our North American businesses, offsetting lower pricing, primarily in avocados.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $4 million to just under $18 million, driven by higher revenue the benefits of the OPE and DDNA integration, and a good performance in our joint venture operations.

Bear points

  • Equity method earnings decreased by 6.7 million, primarily due to a non-cash gain of 6.9 million on an M&A transaction booked in Q1 2025.
  • Overall net income was 37.7 million, 6.4 million lower than prior year.
  • adjusted EBITDA was 100 million, a decrease of 4.5 million, and mainly driven by higher food sourcing costs in fresh fruit, partially offset by strong growth in diversified Americas and a solid performance in diversified EMEA.
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