Lumida
/EXPE
⌘K
Expedia Group Inc

Expedia Group Inc

EXPE
$268.77USD↓-0.80%-2.18 today

MARKET CAP

32.3B

P/E (TTM)

15.3x

FWD P/E

12.7x

DAY RANGE

$265 – $273

52W RANGE

$174
$304

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

EXPE remains in a Stage 2 advancing regime within a long-term uptrend, characterized by clear higher highs and higher lows and supported by rising EMAs and a rising 50 DMA. While the medium-term structural bias is bullish, short-term price is extended above the 9/21 EMA confluence and shows no acute exhaustion. Employing a defensive, yield-oriented strategy, we prefer to stalk for a shallow pullback into the dynamic support zone before initiating exposure.

  • ↑Q1 gross bookings rose 13% YoY to $35.5B; revenue climbed 15% YoY to $3.4B
  • ↑High earnings yield and solid profitability underpin attractive valuation
  • ↓Heavy reliance on U.S. consumer demand exposes bookings to sentiment shifts
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a leading online travel company that provides various services encompassing hotel bookings, vacation rentals, car rentals, and travel insurance. As a key player in the travel tech sector, it operates multiple brands, including Expedia, Vrbo, and Hotels.com. The company has displayed commendable resilience in responding to variations in macroeconomic conditions affecting consumer travel behavior, emphasizing its focus on customer experience, operational efficiencies, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, Expedia is increasingly leveraging AI technologies to enhance user engagement and streamline operational processes.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 gross bookings rose 13% YoY to $35.5B; revenue climbed 15% YoY to $3.4B
  • ↑High earnings yield and solid profitability underpin attractive valuation
  • ↑$5B share repurchase program approved; trailing FCF of $4.1B enables shareholder returns
  • ↑B2B segment bookings surged 22%, driving corporate travel expansion
  • ↑Management guides Q2 gross bookings +7–9% and revenue +9–11%
  • ↑Ongoing AI investments to boost personalization and operational efficiency

Bear says

  • ↓Heavy reliance on U.S. consumer demand exposes bookings to sentiment shifts
  • ↓Rising AI infrastructure and token costs threaten margin expansion
  • ↓Analysts are cutting earnings estimates, indicating weakening growth revisions
  • ↓High volatility and pricing competition pressure ADRs and profit margins
  • ↓Low book-to-price ratio signals potential valuation concerns
  • ↓Weak quality factors and elevated leverage risk increase uncertainty

Investment themes with EXPE

Travel & Leisure↑ +0.20%

Consumer travel services and hospitality experiences

EXPE · ABNB · MAR
Airlines↓ -0.99%

Commercial airline operators and related services

DAL · AAL · UAL
eTailing↑ +0.56%

Online retail and e-commerce platforms

FIGS · LQDT · CVNA
High Beta↓ -0.12%

Stocks with high volatility relative to market

AMD · DELL · MPWR

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-08-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • confident the company is well positioned to build on this foundation, continue to drive growth, further enhance operating efficiency, and expand margins under Ariane's leadership.
  • pleased to share that our first quarter 2026 results exceeded the high end of our guidance range.
  • Gross bookings were $35.5 billion, up 13%, driven by 6% room-night growth and 4% ADR growth on an FX-neutral basis.

Bear points

  • However, the macro environment became more volatile as we entered March, resulting in higher cancellations and more moderate booking trends late in the quarter.
  • In our consumer business, we face headwinds from travel advisories in Mexico, while in B2B, the conflict in the Middle East meaningfully impacted outbound travel from multiple regions, driving elevated cancellations in Europe and Asia.
  • First, with the announcement of travel advisories in Mexico, and second, with the conflict in the Middle East.
Read full transcript analysis ›