Lumida
/EYE
⌘K
National Vision Holdings Inc

National Vision Holdings Inc

EYE
$20.73USD↓-0.34%-0.07 today

MARKET CAP

1.7B

P/E (TTM)

22.8x

FWD P/E

18.3x

DAY RANGE

$21 – $22

52W RANGE

$15
$30

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

Stage 2 advancing with a Momentum Breakout and higher-highs/higher-lows confirms medium-term bullish bias. Price is extended above rising EMAs amid overbought RSI and Options Score, so immediate entry is unfavorable. We await a shallow pullback into the 9/21 EMA support zone before committing. Low Stage Transition Risk and volume behavior support patience for better timing.

  • ↑Q1 revenue $544M (+6.6% YoY) with adj operating margin up 210bp to 10.2%.
  • ↑11 consecutive quarters of comp store sales growth indicate sustained higher-margin demand.
  • ↓Q1 traffic declined 1.2%, with cash-pay customers notably lagging.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

National Vision Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE) is a leading optical retailer specializing in providing affordable eyewear and optometric services through its retail formats, including America's Best Contacts & Eyeglasses and Eyeglass World. The company operates within the consumer goods sector, focusing on enhancing customer experiences, expanding its footprint, and driving growth through strategic initiatives, particularly in managed care and premium eyewear offerings.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 revenue $544M (+6.6% YoY) with adj operating margin up 210bp to 10.2%.
  • ↑11 consecutive quarters of comp store sales growth indicate sustained higher-margin demand.
  • ↑Managed care penetration at 42%, aiming for 50%, boosting recurring revenue mix.
  • ↑Premium eyewear rollout (e.g., Nikon Eyes) expands average ticket and customer mix.
  • ↑FY26 revenue guidance of $2.03–2.09B underpins strong growth outlook.
  • ↑$50M share buyback authorization and high institutional backing support valuation.

Bear says

  • ↓Q1 traffic declined 1.2%, with cash-pay customers notably lagging.
  • ↓Negative growth factor and downward earnings revisions signal revenue risks.
  • ↓Weak profitability factor suggests margin pressure despite recent improvements.
  • ↓Inflation and gas price swings may further suppress discretionary spend.
  • ↓High short interest reflects investor skepticism and market sentiment risk.
  • ↓Elevated sensitivity to interest rates and oil prices adds volatility.

Investment themes with EYE

Hi Short Interest↑ +1.03%

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Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-13-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • We're still absolutely sticking with our full year guide.
  • we still have options, you know, at the below $99 price point on the frame side, we still have options on uncoated plastic lenses in the assortment.
  • we are seeing all consumers, including the lower income deciles, move up.

Bear points

  • the lower income customer probably gets worse, not better this year.
  • traffic impact is those consumers that are coming to us for an exam.
  • we don't expect any material impact to the business in our guide that we can't mitigate.
Read full transcript analysis ›