Lumida
/FOXF
⌘K
Fox Factory Holding Corp

Fox Factory Holding Corp

FOXF
$19.02USD↓-2.61%-0.51 today

MARKET CAP

797.6M

P/E (TTM)

18.8x

FWD P/E

10.8x

DAY RANGE

$19 – $20

52W RANGE

$13
$31

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

FOXF remains in a Stage 4 decline with confirmed breakdown and active Bearish Pivot Point signaling failed upside control. The medium-term bias is bearish as price consolidates under flat-to-declining EMAs within a sideways cluster. Currently trading near the lower end of this range without reversal signals, deferred selling into any rallies around the 9/20 EMAs is advised.

  • ↑Targeting $50M in Phase 2 cost savings, aiding 2026 EBITDA of $174–203M
  • ↑Q1 net sales of $368.7M (+3.9% YoY) topped guidance
  • ↓Gross margin compressed to 28.9% in Q1 from 30.9% YoY due to tariffs
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is a leading manufacturer of performance and suspension products for the outdoor sports and active lifestyle markets, with a focus on the automotive, cycling, and powersports segments. The company is part of a larger theme of innovation in recreational and performance products, aimed at capturing consumer demand despite macroeconomic challenges such as rising tariffs and supply chain disruptions.

Bull says

  • ↑Targeting $50M in Phase 2 cost savings, aiding 2026 EBITDA of $174–203M
  • ↑Q1 net sales of $368.7M (+3.9% YoY) topped guidance
  • ↑Bike segment sales +17.4% YoY, highlighting high-end resilience
  • ↑Deleveraging focus despite $688.2M debt, boosting financial stability
  • ↑Strong liquidity and Book-to-Price of 1.93 support value appeal

Bear says

  • ↓Gross margin compressed to 28.9% in Q1 from 30.9% YoY due to tariffs
  • ↓Weak profitability metrics highlight inefficiencies in returns generation
  • ↓Tariffs set to trim ~$50M from margins, pressuring full-year outlook
  • ↓Negative momentum and index removal signal lower market confidence
  • ↓Leverage score elevated, increasing risk in rising-rate environment
  • ↓Marucci segment excess inventory drags overall growth prospects

Investment themes with FOXF

Travel & Leisure↑ +0.27%

Consumer travel services and hospitality experiences

BKNG · ABNB · RCL
Recreational Durables↑ +0.47%

HZO · MBUU · JOUT

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-10-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • We delivered first quarter revenue of $368.7 million, which is the high end of our guidance range, and adjusted EBITDA of $35.7 million, exceeding the high end of our guidance range.
  • we closed the divestiture of our Phoenix, Arizona operations in the quarter as planned.
  • operating environment remains broadly consistent with the demand backdrop we built our 2026 outlook around.

Bear points

  • we are not counting on end market recovery or tariff relief in 2026.
  • The volume and mix issue is directly related to the industry-wide aluminum supply disruption affecting Ford's production, which has constrained availability of the F-150 Lariat and XLT platforms, a predominant upfit chassis across several of our product lines.
  • The Q1 and Q2 volume tied to that disruption is not expected to be recovered in 2026.
Read full transcript analysis ›