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GCM Grosvenor Inc

GCM Grosvenor Inc

GCMG
$12.90USD↓-4.44%-0.60 today

MARKET CAP

2.6B

P/E (TTM)

16.1x

FWD P/E

13.5x

DAY RANGE

$13 – $13

52W RANGE

$9
$14

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

GCMG remains in a Stage 2 advancing regime with structural higher highs and higher lows intact. After an extended rally, price is pulling back into the 9/21 EMA zone, testing intermediate support. The active Higher Highs & Higher Lows pattern supports medium-term bullish continuation, but the short-term downtrend and RSI correction warrant patience. Deferred buying on a clear acceptance or rejection at the EMA support area is advised.

  • ↑Record $10.7 B fundraising in 2025 underscores robust capital inflows.
  • ↑AUM increased 12% YoY to $91 B, fee-paying AUM up 11%.
  • ↓Fee-related earnings flat at $47 M YoY signals revenue stagnation.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

GCM Grosvenor (NASDAQ: GCMG) is a leading global investment management firm that focuses on alternative asset strategies across private equity, infrastructure, and absolute return strategies. The company has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on increasing demand for alternative investments, driven by a diversification of capital sources from institutional and individual investors. GCM Grosvenor's ability to execute and adapt amidst market volatility highlights its significant role within the broader investment management landscape.

Bull says

  • ↑Record $10.7 B fundraising in 2025 underscores robust capital inflows.
  • ↑AUM increased 12% YoY to $91 B, fee-paying AUM up 11%.
  • ↑Fee-related earnings margin rose to 44% on improved operating leverage.
  • ↑ARS arm delivered consistent returns, demonstrating resilience amid volatility.
  • ↑Diverse private equity and infrastructure offerings broaden revenue streams.
  • ↑Strong earnings yield and significant unrealized carried interest indicate potential upside.

Bear says

  • ↓Fee-related earnings flat at $47 M YoY signals revenue stagnation.
  • ↓Market volatility and AI-driven disruptions may pressure performance fees.
  • ↓Weak growth indicators and negative earnings revisions weigh on sentiment.
  • ↓High short interest and low institutional conviction signal bearish bias.
  • ↓Individual investor channel build-out spans multi-year horizon, delaying returns.
  • ↓Poor profitability metrics and low quality factor scores heighten risk.

Investment themes with GCMG

Capital Markets↓ -0.02%

Debt and equity trading fueling economic growth

SNEX · AAMI · PWP

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-08-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Our business showed solid momentum to start the year, supported by both investment performance and ongoing fundraising activity.
  • Assets under management for the first quarter of 26 was $91 billion, and fee-paying AUM was $74 billion, a 12% and 11% increase year-over-year respectively,
  • Contracted not yet fee-paying AUM was $9.8 billion, a 20% increase year over year, providing a strong foundation for continued organic growth as that capital is deployed and converted into fee-paying AUM over time.

Bear points

  • These statements are neither promises nor guarantees. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements on this call.
  • fee-related revenue and fee-related earnings were essentially flat year-over-year
Read full transcript analysis ›