Geo Group Inc

GEO remains in a Stage 2 advancing regime, with higher highs and higher lows supported by rising EMAs. A terminal Blow-Off Top pattern and overbought context warn of potential late-stage exhaustion, but a pullback into the 9/21 EMA zone on cooling RSI provides a tactical entry. The long-term uptrend above the 200 DMA remains intact, anchoring structural conviction. Key risks include a decisive break below intermediate EMAs and a shift toward Stage 3 distribution if momentum deteriorates.

• ↑Secured $520M in new ICE contracts, largest annual win ever
• ↑Q1 2026 revenue of $705.2 M (+17% YoY); net income at $38.3 M (+96% YoY)
• ↓Profitability remains weak with negative earnings yield and delayed payments