Griffon Corp

GFF remains in a Stage 2 advancing regime with a clear higher-highs/higher-lows structure and rising EMAs, but the recent Bullish Exhaustion candle at a new high and flattening RSI indicate waning upside momentum. While the medium-term bias stays bullish, price is currently extended above the EMAs without a clean entry. Therefore, defer execution and stalk for a pullback into the rising EMA9/21 support area.

• ↑High earnings yield (~0.93) and 19% annualized dividend CAGR since 2012 underscores strong shareholder returns.
• ↑Generated $101M Q2 free cash flow; guiding >$1B FCF next fiscal year indicates solid liquidity.
• ↓Net debt $1.3B (2.4× EBITDA) and leverage ~1.23 elevate financial risk amid rate hikes.