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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp

GO
$9.44USD↓-1.46%-0.14 today

MARKET CAP

933.8M

P/E (TTM)

13.9x

FWD P/E

15.5x

DAY RANGE

$9 – $10

52W RANGE

$6
$19

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

GO remains in a Stage 2 advancing uptrend with clear higher highs and rising EMAs, but price is extended and extreme overbought. Exhaustion signals at resistance and minimal pullbacks argue for deferring entry until a shallow retracement into the 9/21 EMA (or 50-DMA) support zone for more favorable risk–reward.

  • ↑Q1 EPS $0.05 vs $0.0235 est (+112.8% surprise) and revenue $1.17B (+3.6% YoY)
  • ↑Comparable-store sales down 1%—better than expected range
  • ↓Q1 net loss $180.3M from restructuring and goodwill impairment charges
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is a leading discount grocery retailer in the U.S., utilizing a distinctive opportunistic buying model to provide considerable savings on branded products. With a network of independently operated stores, Grocery Outlet focuses on delivering value to budget-conscious consumers, particularly in challenging economic conditions. Their unique “treasure hunt” shopping experience, which leverages deep discounts on a rotating assortment of products, targets a growing niche within the discount grocery segment.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 EPS $0.05 vs $0.0235 est (+112.8% surprise) and revenue $1.17B (+3.6% YoY)
  • ↑Comparable-store sales down 1%—better than expected range
  • ↑FY26 revenue guidance $4.6–4.72B and adj. EBITDA $220–235M reaffirmed
  • ↑$20M promo spend lifts traffic ~2%; treasure-hunt refresh underway
  • ↑Book-to-price 2.09, moderate leverage, 12.9% dividend yield supports income

Bear says

  • ↓Q1 net loss $180.3M from restructuring and goodwill impairment charges
  • ↓Comparable-store sales down 1% and gross margin at 29.6% under promotional pressure
  • ↓SNAP benefits account for 9% of sales; policy shifts risk foot traffic
  • ↓Weak profitability factors and poor earnings yield signal low returns
  • ↓High short interest and weak momentum heighten downside risk
  • ↓Store refresh and closures may suppress sales; execution risks are high

Investment themes with GO

Hi Short Interest↑ +1.03%

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Most Shorted Stocks↑ +0.54%

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Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-14-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • we saw a month-over-month improvement in comp results throughout Q1 and expect benefits to ticket to follow.
  • We reported Q1 revenue of $1.17 billion, up 3.6% with comparable store sales down 1%, slightly ahead of our outlook for a decline of minus 2.5% to negative 1.5%.
  • Traffic remained positive up approximately 2% with consistent improvement throughout the quarter. This was offset by continued basket pressure from lower units per transaction.

Bear points

  • Comparable store sales declined 1% in the first quarter,
  • Net loss for the first quarter was $180.3 million, or a net loss of $1.83 per fully diluted share, owing primarily to the restructuring and non-cash goodwill impairment charges I mentioned a moment ago.
  • With a clear path to deliver on that objective, the results that support that focus, we're prioritizing our initial resources on that work. That requires deliberate choices about how we execute our other priorities this year, including taking a more measured pace on our store refresh program.
Read full transcript analysis ›