Lumida
/GRPN
⌘K
Groupon Inc

Groupon Inc

GRPN
$27.83USD↓-2.62%-0.75 today

MARKET CAP

1.1B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

44.7x

DAY RANGE

$27 – $28

52W RANGE

$9
$43

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

GRPN remains in a Stage 2 advancing uptrend with intact higher highs and higher lows, but the recent Bullish Exhaustion candle at a marginal new high and extreme overbought conditions indicate waning momentum. Price is extended above rising short-term EMAs, making immediate entry less favorable. We prefer to wait for a pullback into the 9/21 EMA area or prior support zone before initiating in alignment with the medium-term bullish bias.

  • ↑Pivot to AI-first operations aims to generate $20–25M in annual cost savings
  • ↑12% YoY billings growth in local segment indicates revenue momentum
  • ↓EPS projected at -$0.16 per share highlights profitability struggles
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) is a digital marketplace that connects consumers with local merchants, facilitating discounts on various products and services. Positioning itself in the hyperlocal commerce space, Groupon seeks to leverage its brand as a leading destination for local experiences through a transformative AI-first strategy aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and improving merchant engagement. The company's ongoing restructuring initiatives are positioned to equip it with a renewed focus on AI technologies and localized market strategies to drive growth and profitability.

Bull says

  • ↑Pivot to AI-first operations aims to generate $20–25M in annual cost savings
  • ↑12% YoY billings growth in local segment indicates revenue momentum
  • ↑Adjusted EBITDA outlook of $75–80M suggests return to profitability
  • ↑Strong liquidity profile supports operations and strategic investments
  • ↑Average analyst price target of $26.33 signals upside potential
  • ↑Quality-focused merchant partnerships expected to boost conversion rates

Bear says

  • ↓EPS projected at -$0.16 per share highlights profitability struggles
  • ↓Leverage above industry norms raises debt-servicing risk
  • ↓AI transition execution remains uncertain, risking delayed benefits
  • ↓14.8% implied downside from average price targets
  • ↓36% of float sold short elevates volatility risk
  • ↓Geopolitical turmoil may curb discretionary spending on local services

Investment themes with GRPN

Social Media↑ +0.09%

META · 0700.HK · 1024.HK

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-11-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • We are changing and it's not only us, it's pretty much everyone who is on this AI frontier level, the way how corporations are working.
  • And I expect that more and more of this will be coming to Groupon.
  • I see the same happening on SCM, also Mobile Next. Last almost three years, we were talking about the project, how we are moving really slowly. But last three to five months, the progress significantly accelerated. We would not be able to achieve it without AI. And I see right now that this is happening across all projects.

Bear points

  • the 15% restructuring is not approved by the board and we are not talking about specific actions.
  • the saving is definitely not a primary motivation because this is probably for the first time in Groupon's history when we are talking about these reductions while we are growing not when we need to cut something because like Groupon has major problem with the business.
  • the 15% restructuring is not approved by the board and we are not talking about specific actions.
Read full transcript analysis ›