Goosehead Insurance Inc

GSHD is in a Stage 2 advance and has pulled back into the rising 9/20 EMA support zone after a mid-July exhaustion signal, presenting a shallow pullback entry. The medium-term structure remains bullish under Stage 2 rules with clear higher highs and higher lows, although the Bullish Exhaustion pattern warns of momentum fatigue. Short-term execution readiness is affirmed as price holds above rising EMAs during this pullback. The long-term bias remains Bearish given the persistent downtrend under the 200DMA. Key risks include failure of EMA support, potential rejection at the 200DMA, extreme overbought conditions, and moderate Stage Transition Risk.

• ↑Q1 revenue of $93M (+23% YoY) with core revenue up 15%
• ↑Adjusted EBITDA of $24.4M (+67% YoY) delivering a 26% margin
• ↓Negative momentum driving severe selling pressure on the stock