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Herc Holdings Inc

Herc Holdings Inc

HRI
$149.47USD↓-2.40%-3.67 today

MARKET CAP

5.0B

P/E (TTM)

23.5x

FWD P/E

19.2x

DAY RANGE

$147 – $153

52W RANGE

$88
$188

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowMedium

HRI in Stage 2 advancing with clear higher highs/lows and supportive rising EMAs. Recent pullback into the 9 and 21 EMA region offers a selective entry for continuation participation. Despite overbought conditions, no exhaustion is visible, aligning with a speculative strategy favoring disciplined momentum entries now.

  • ↑Q1 2026 equipment rental revenue rose 33% YoY to $1.1B.
  • ↑Cost synergies of $125M and $100–120M revenue synergies forecast by end-2026.
  • ↓Pro forma leverage ratio of 3.96x may pressure margins amid higher rates.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Herc Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HRI) operates as a leading provider in the equipment rental industry, specializing in a diverse range of rental solutions across construction, industrial, and municipal sectors. Following its strategic acquisition of H&E Equipment Services, Herc has significantly expanded its operational scale, aiming to capitalize on ongoing demand for rental services, particularly in the context of megaprojects driven by substantial federal and private investments.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 2026 equipment rental revenue rose 33% YoY to $1.1B.
  • ↑Cost synergies of $125M and $100–120M revenue synergies forecast by end-2026.
  • ↑Adjusted EBITDA grew 8% YoY to $406M; free cash flow hit $94M.
  • ↑Winning 10–15% share of megaproject contracts enhances high-value revenue.
  • ↑Consensus 'Buy' ratings support 15.9% upside to $170.57 target.
  • ↑Strong earnings yield and QS Score reflect efficient capital management.

Bear says

  • ↓Pro forma leverage ratio of 3.96x may pressure margins amid higher rates.
  • ↓Weak profitability factors hinder margin expansion.
  • ↓High sensitivity to rate hikes could dampen local rental demand.
  • ↓Ongoing H&E integration risks operational inefficiencies and workforce instability.
  • ↓Heavy reliance on megaprojects exposes the company to delays or financing shifts.
  • ↓High short interest and low liquidity may deter long-term investors.

Investment themes with HRI

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
Infrastructure Development↑ +0.48%

DE · HWM · TT

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 04-28-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • For the first quarter on a GAAP basis, equipment rental revenue was up approximately 33% year over year, driven by the acquisition of H&E.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 33% compared with last year's first quarter, benefiting from the higher equipment rental revenue as well as 31% more used equipment sales.
  • we generated $94 million of free cash flow for the first quarter.

Bear points

  • You know, Q1, Q4 will be your heavy disposal quarters.
Read full transcript analysis ›