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/HTLD
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Heartland Express Inc

Heartland Express Inc

HTLD
$15.39USD+0.59%+0.09 today

MARKET CAP

1.2B

P/E (TTM)

FWD P/E

66.9x

DAY RANGE

$15 – $15

52W RANGE

$7
$17

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

HTLD is in a Stage 3 distribution with a high-confidence support failure, shifting medium-term bias to bearish despite the longer uptrend. Price is rejecting at the 9/21 EMAs and holding below key moving averages, with no oversold or exhaustion signal to support a mean-reversion entry. Execution at resistance zones around the former 14.6 support is appropriate, favoring immediate sell participation as downside continuation accelerates.

  • Q1 revenue of $176.3M beat estimates by 2.6%, driving stock up 5% post-earnings
  • Shares climbed 21% to a 52-week high of $15.85 since earnings release
  • Industry net profits down ~47% since 2021, pressuring margins
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Heartland Express, Inc. (NASDAQ: HTLD) is a dominant player in the trucking and logistics sector, primarily operating in the less-than-truckload (LTL) and full truckload services. The company is recognized for its reliability and efficiency in freight transportation, benefiting from a solid network of regional operations that link various markets across the United States. HTLD aims to provide exceptional service to its customers through a focus on on-time deliveries and careful management of operational costs, positioning it within the broader theme of the evolving logistics landscape amid increasing competition and technological advancements.

Bull says

  • Q1 revenue of $176.3M beat estimates by 2.6%, driving stock up 5% post-earnings
  • Shares climbed 21% to a 52-week high of $15.85 since earnings release
  • Book-to-price ratio of 1.81 signals strong asset backing
  • Quarterly dividend of $0.02/share (yield ~1.6%) attracts income investors
  • Positive momentum factors and analyst revisions lifted Barclays target from $12 to $14
  • Moderate share volatility and strong momentum support stability for conservative investors

Bear says

  • Industry net profits down ~47% since 2021, pressuring margins
  • Insurance costs up over 50%, intensifying operational cost headwinds
  • Growth factors weak, facing challenges expanding revenue amid capacity glut
  • Profitability factors negative; low free-cash-flow conversion raises efficiency concerns
  • Low institutional ownership indicates weak fund interest in the stock
  • Competitive threats from FedEx spinoff and autonomous trucks increase pricing pressure

Investment themes with HTLD

Logistics -0.07%

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