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/JACK
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Jack in the Box Inc

Jack in the Box Inc

JACK
$14.98USD↓-7.76%-1.26 today

MARKET CAP

285.7M

P/E (TTM)

4.9x

FWD P/E

4.0x

DAY RANGE

$15 – $16

52W RANGE

$9
$25

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

The stock is in an early Stage 1 consolidation after a severe decline with a Post-Capitulation mean-reversion pattern signaling exhausted selling. The long-term downtrend remains intact, but the medium-term bias is bullish due to mean-reversion eligibility and repaired short-term EMAs. Short-term timing is neutral as price oscillates around flat 9/20 EMAs with RSI mid-range, so execution is deferred, watching for pullbacks into the short-EMA zone.

  • ↑$500M note sale repaid higher-cost debt, stock jumped 20.6%
  • ↑“Jack on Track” closes underperformers and reallocates resources to top sites
  • ↓Q2 same-store sales fell 3.8%, franchise comps down 3.9%
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) sector, offering a diverse menu that features burgers, tacos, and breakfast items available throughout the day. The company is currently in a transformational phase as it navigates through operational challenges while striving for long-term growth. In an effort to enhance financial health, Jack in the Box has recently undertaken initiatives to optimize its business model, particularly in a competitive landscape characterized by rising inflation and evolving consumer behavior.

Bull says

  • ↑$500M note sale repaid higher-cost debt, stock jumped 20.6%
  • ↑“Jack on Track” closes underperformers and reallocates resources to top sites
  • ↑Management forecasts same-store sales declines easing to low single digits by Q4
  • ↑Unusual call volume rose 644%, signaling bullish options activity
  • ↑Strong earnings yield and 1.79% dividend yield attract value investors
  • ↑High liquidity and positive revision momentum reflect growing analyst confidence

Bear says

  • ↓Q2 same-store sales fell 3.8%, franchise comps down 3.9%
  • ↓Restaurant-level margins dropped to 16.4% amid double-digit beef inflation
  • ↓Net debt $1.6B with 6.9x leverage heightens refinancing concerns
  • ↓Q2 revenue $120.4M (-13% YoY) and EPS $0.76 vs $1.25 LY
  • ↓Weak growth and profitability factors signal expansion and margin pressures
  • ↓Elevated short interest underscores investor skepticism

Investment themes with JACK

Restaurants↑ +0.38%

Exposure to casual and fine dining venue operators

MCD · SBUX · YUM
Most Shorted Stocks↑ +0.54%

Stocks with highest short interest

LITE · FSLY · SPHR

Earnings Call · Q2 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-14-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Jack is an iconic brand with deeply engaged stakeholders and a business model that generates meaningful cash flow.
  • This brand has tremendous potential and we are only scratching the surface of the opportunities we have ahead of us.
  • The board and I firmly believe that we are on the right path and we have the right strategy in place.

Bear points

  • The second quarter same-store sales for Jack in the Box decreased 3.8%, comprised of a franchise restaurant same-store sales decrease of 3.9% and a company-owned same-store sales decrease of 2.8%.
  • Jack's restaurant level margin percentage in the second quarter decreased to 16.4%, down from 19.6%.
  • We continue to see elevated beef costs and expect inflation to maintain at the double digits through Q3 and moderate in Q4.
Read full transcript analysis ›