Lumida
/KDP
⌘K
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

KDP
$30.91USD↓-1.50%-0.47 today

MARKET CAP

42.1B

P/E (TTM)

15.3x

FWD P/E

12.5x

DAY RANGE

$31 – $32

52W RANGE

$25
$36

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

Stage 2 advancing trend with higher highs and higher lows intact underpins a bullish medium-term bias, but short-term price is consolidating into the 9-, 20- and 50-day EMAs with neutral RSI and Options Score. Execution is deferred until the 50-day SMA and short-term EMAs are tested and held as support. Key risks include a decisive breakdown below those dynamic moving averages and lingering exhaustion signals at the June peak.

  • ↑U.S. refreshment segment revenue grew 11.9% YoY, driven by product innovation
  • ↑JDE Peet's integration expected to yield ~$400M in annual cost synergies
  • ↓U.S. coffee profit margins forecast to decline due to rising commodity costs
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ: KDP) is a leading beverage company based in North America, specializing in carbonated soft drinks, coffee, and non-alcoholic refreshment beverages. With notable brands like Dr Pepper, GHOST Energy, and various coffee products, KDP is strategically positioned to capitalize on evolving consumer preferences towards convenience and flavor. The company is also making significant strides in expanding its global presence following its acquisition of JDE Peet's, aiming to cement its status in both the coffee and refreshment beverage markets while navigating the challenges posed by inflation and competitive pressures.

Bull says

  • ↑U.S. refreshment segment revenue grew 11.9% YoY, driven by product innovation
  • ↑JDE Peet's integration expected to yield ~$400M in annual cost synergies
  • ↑Q1 free cash flow at $184M; full-year guidance ~$2.5B supports deleveraging
  • ↑Dividend yield at 2.9% with quarterly payout of $0.23 per share
  • ↑Major analysts maintain Buy ratings, reflecting confidence in growth initiatives
  • ↑High earnings revisions momentum, low price volatility, and large market position

Bear says

  • ↓U.S. coffee profit margins forecast to decline due to rising commodity costs
  • ↓Total debt near $25.9B elevates leverage risk if cash generation falters
  • ↓Weak profitability factors amid competitive and inflationary pressures limit returns
  • ↓Low institutional ownership and lack of insider buying signal sentiment concerns
  • ↓Consumer price sensitivity risks derailing strategic price increases
  • ↓High oil-price sensitivity and negative revenue growth factors add macro risk

Investment themes with KDP

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 04-23-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Net sales increased 8.1% in the quarter, led by strong gains in U.S. refreshment beverages and international, probably offset by a decline in U.S. coffee, as expected.
  • U.S. refreshment beverages net sales grew 11.9%, with volume mix contributing 7.2 points. Net price realization added another 4.7 points, reflecting inflation-driven price increases taken early in the year.
  • We have robust innovation and commercial plans in place for the balance of 2026 and expect another strong year for the segment.

Bear points

  • Gross margin contracted 220 basis points, as elevated cost pressures were only partly offset by net price realization and productivity savings.
  • Q1 operating income declined 1.9%, including the below-the-line impact of lapping last year's two-cent gain on the sale of our Vida Cocoa Steak EPS decreased 7.1% to 39 cents.
  • Net sales declined 2.3%, with volume mix driving an 8.2 percentage point decline.
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