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/LI
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Li Auto Inc

Li Auto Inc

LI
$12.39USD-3.65%-0.47 today

MARKET CAP

12.9B

P/E (TTM)

FWD P/E

18.1x

DAY RANGE

$12 – $13

52W RANGE

$12
$32

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowMedium

LI is in an early Stage 1 consolidation following a terminal decline, showing exhausted selling pressure and a repaired short-EMA regime. The active Post-Capitulation pattern and oversold context support a medium-term bullish asymmetry, and short-term conditions favor a tactical buy near the 9/21 EMA support. However, the base remains fragile and requires confirmation of a Stage 2 advance before committing further.

  • Proprietary M100 chip to boost autonomous features and UX
  • L9 launch achieved over 10,000 orders within two weeks
  • RMB 2.3 billion Q1 loss highlights weak profitability
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ: LI) is a prominent player in China's electric vehicle market, specializing in a range of extended electric vehicles (EREVs) and increasingly focusing on pure electric models. The company has established a strong presence in the premium segment of the automotive market by emphasizing advanced technological features and customer-centric designs. With its innovative product lineup and efforts to enhance its production capabilities, Li Auto is positioned at the forefront of the evolving new energy vehicle (NEV) landscape.

Bull says

  • Proprietary M100 chip to boost autonomous features and UX
  • L9 launch achieved over 10,000 orders within two weeks
  • Q2 ’26 delivery guidance of 95–100k units targets 20% growth
  • $1 billion share repurchase underscores management confidence
  • Cash balance at RMB 101.2 billion supports expansion and R&D
  • Aiming to recover gross margin to around 10% in Q2

Bear says

  • RMB 2.3 billion Q1 loss highlights weak profitability
  • EPS forecast set to decline 107% YoY on negative revisions
  • Revenue fell 11.4% YoY to RMB 23 billion in Q1
  • Supply chain constraints threaten production and delivery targets
  • Aggressive pricing by BYD and NIO pressures margins
  • Elevated short interest underscores broad investor skepticism

Investment themes with LI

Recent IPOs -0.74%

Companies that recently went public

SNOW · PLTR · PTON

Earnings Call · Q1 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 06-09-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Total revenues in the first quarter were RMB $25.9 billion or $3.6 billion, up 1.1% year-over-year, indicating positive year-over-year performance despite seasonal factors.
  • For the second quarter of 2025, the company expects delivery to be between 121,000 and 128,000 vehicles, representing a year-over-year increase of 13.3% to 17.9%.
  • The company also expects second quarter total revenues to be between RMB $32.5 billion and RMB $33.8 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.5% to 6.7%.

Bear points

  • Net income in the first quarter was RMB 646.6 million, or $89.1 million, down 81.7% quarter-over-quarter, indicating a significant decline in profitability compared to the previous quarter.
  • Free cash flow was negative RMB 2.5 billion in the first quarter versus negative RMB 5.1 billion in the same period last year, suggesting ongoing liquidity challenges.
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