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/MAGN
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Magnera Corp

Magnera Corp

MAGN
$13.61USD↓-2.92%-0.41 today

MARKET CAP

487.2M

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$14 – $15

52W RANGE

$8
$16

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

MAGN has broken out in Stage 2 with a strong momentum breakout and rising EMAs, supporting a bullish medium-term bias. However, price is extended above key EMAs into overbought territory with elevated options readings, making current timing unfavorable. We will wait for a pullback into the rising 9EMA/21EMA support zone or prior resistance area before considering entry.

  • ↑Generated $73M Q2 FCF and $128M LTM FCF, implying >40% yield.
  • ↑Projecting FY26 adjusted EBITDA of $380-410M via strategic growth investments.
  • ↓Q2 revenue fell to $796M with demand softness in Europe and South America.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Magnera Corporation (MAGN) is a global leader in specialty materials, primarily serving the personal care and infrastructure sectors. With a strong presence in North America and a focus on sustainable practices, the company differentiates itself through innovation and high-quality offerings, positioning itself as a crucial player in the evolving landscape of essential consumer goods and building materials.

Bull says

  • ↑Generated $73M Q2 FCF and $128M LTM FCF, implying >40% yield.
  • ↑Projecting FY26 adjusted EBITDA of $380-410M via strategic growth investments.
  • ↑Paid down $36M of debt in Q2; targeting $100M total reduction in FY26.
  • ↑Shifted 85% of sales to contract pricing pass-through to curb input inflation.
  • ↑Launched new film asset to boost hygiene segment margins and efficiency.
  • ↑High earnings yield and book-to-price; low short interest; leverage aids growth in low-rate setting.

Bear says

  • ↓Q2 revenue fell to $796M with demand softness in Europe and South America.
  • ↓Raw material inflation (70% of COGS) pressures margins; weak profitability factors persist.
  • ↓Management expects flat volumes; negative growth factors signal stagnation risk.
  • ↓Geopolitical and inflationary headwinds threaten cost structure and supply chain.
  • ↓Elevated competitive intensity in South America risks market share and pricing.
  • ↓Negative profitability and growth factors; high volatility risk; small-cap status adds pressure.

Investment themes with MAGN

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Earnings Call · Q2 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-09-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • our earnings of $90 million of adjusted EBITDA were in line with expectations after adjusting for weather-related factors highlighted during our February earnings call.
  • Our strong free cash flow enabled us to pay down $36 million of debt in the quarter.
  • We anticipate recouping most weather-related setbacks in the second half of the fiscal year.

Bear points

  • the war in the Middle East has created global challenges on many fronts, including having a direct impact on our raw material and supply chain costs.
  • The rising costs in raw materials, fuel, container shipping, and delivery times notably affecting resin, pulp, and energy expenses, constitute approximately 70% of our cost of goods sold.
  • industrial activity remains subdued despite signs of stability as the sector contends with tariffs, geopolitical uncertainty, and policy ambiguity.
Read full transcript analysis ›