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Monarch Casino & Resort Inc

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc

MCRI
$123.03USD-2.55%-3.22 today

MARKET CAP

2.2B

P/E (TTM)

20.6x

FWD P/E

18.6x

DAY RANGE

$123 – $126

52W RANGE

$88
$136

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowMedium

MCRI is in a Stage 2 corrective reset within a long-term uptrend, with price pulling back into rising 9/21 EMA support, confirming medium-term bullish asymmetry. Short-term timing is favorable as the 9/21 EMA zone holds on the pullback, warranting a Buy Now into that support while monitoring overbought RSI and elevated forward P/E.

  • EPS projected +8.06% YoY to $7.64 in 2027, signaling sustained earnings momentum.
  • P/E ratio of 22.7 compares favorably with 40.2 sector average, suggesting valuation upside.
  • Consensus price target $109.50 implies ~18.2% downside from $133.87 current stock price.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCRI) operates in the hospitality and gaming industry, primarily focusing on providing luxurious gaming experiences and high-quality accommodation. With a strong presence in the market, particularly through its flagship property, Atlantis Casino Resort, Monarch is well-positioned to benefit from increasing consumer spending in the entertainment sector. The company plays a pivotal role in the expanding theme of consumer entertainment and leisure spending post-pandemic.

Bull says

  • EPS projected +8.06% YoY to $7.64 in 2027, signaling sustained earnings momentum.
  • P/E ratio of 22.7 compares favorably with 40.2 sector average, suggesting valuation upside.
  • Stock up 11.84% past month, reflecting positive momentum amid competitive hospitality markets.
  • Atlantis campaign earned national accolades, boosting brand visibility and guest acquisition potential.
  • Profitability metrics indicate efficient margin conversion, supporting operational resilience.
  • Potential for upside if consumer leisure spending outperforms conservative forecasts.

Bear says

  • Consensus price target $109.50 implies ~18.2% downside from $133.87 current stock price.
  • Negative growth factors highlight potential revenue stagnation if discretionary spending wanes.
  • Leverage levels pose liquidity risk in economic downturns, limiting strategic flexibility.
  • Dividend yield of 0.92% offers minimal income upside for yield-focused investors.
  • Competitive hospitality landscape and digital gaming trends may erode market share.
  • Regulatory or macro headwinds could further pressure tourism and casino visitation rates.

Investment themes with MCRI

Restaurants +0.38%

Exposure to casual and fine dining venue operators

MCD · SBUX · YUM
Casinos +0.56%

GLPI · CHDN · RRR