Lumida
/METC
⌘K
Ramaco Resources Inc

Ramaco Resources Inc

METC
$11.66USD-3.64%-0.44 today

MARKET CAP

719.4M

P/E (TTM)

FWD P/E

DAY RANGE

$11 – $12

52W RANGE

$11
$58

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

METC remains entrenched in a Stage 4 decline with sequential lower highs and lower lows under falling EMAs, reinforcing a bearish medium-term posture. Short-term conditions lack a clear timing edge as price tightly tracks flat 9/20 EMAs and RSI sits neutral despite oversold context. With no sustained repair of intermediate moving averages and no exhaustion signs, a deferred sell approach at moving-average resistance zones is warranted.

  • Liquidity ~$490M at end of Q1 funds operations and growth
  • Repurchased ~2.6M shares (~5% outstanding) signals undervaluation
  • Q1 revenue fell 9.7% YoY to $121.6M; net loss $18.3M
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Ramaco Resources Inc. (NASDAQ: METC) operates primarily in the metallurgical coal and critical minerals sectors, focusing on producing met coal while advancing its critical mineral exploration and processing capabilities. The company has established a dual-platform strategy, balancing traditional coal operations with emerging opportunities in rare earth elements. It has positioned itself well to capitalize on the demand for critical minerals amid geopolitical tensions and changing supply chain dynamics.

Bull says

  • Liquidity ~$490M at end of Q1 funds operations and growth
  • Repurchased ~2.6M shares (~5% outstanding) signals undervaluation
  • Expect met-coal price recovery as industry production cuts take hold
  • Brook Mine rare earth project to begin commercial oxide output in 2027
  • 0.63% dividend yield and positive oil-price exposure add income upside
  • Government support for domestic critical minerals enhances positioning

Bear says

  • Q1 revenue fell 9.7% YoY to $121.6M; net loss $18.3M
  • Adjusted EBITDA swung to –$1.8M from $10M in Q1 2025
  • GF Value $9.21 vs price $12.49 indicates 35.6% premium
  • Analyst cuts on earnings estimates track a negative revisions trend
  • Earnings yield and profitability metrics remain severely weak
  • Elevated short interest reflects heightened market skepticism

Investment themes with METC

Coal +1.26%

Coal mining and energy production companies

BHP · BTU · ARLP
Rare Earth Minerals +0.67%

SQM · ALB · AMG
Most Shorted Stocks +0.54%

Stocks with highest short interest

LITE · FSLY · SPHR
Julian Komar's Best Winners (Screen Results) -0.50%

NVDA · GOOGL · AVGO

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-13-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • As we look ahead to the second half of 2026, we are optimistic about an improved market environment for Metcalfe. On the demand side, protectionist policies in the U.S. and Europe have lifted steel prices and increased hot metal output, while India's 2026 crude steel production is projected to increase 8 to 9 percent year-over-year.
  • Furthermore, in one of the most constructive developments for seaborne coking coal demand in some time, China's steel exports have fallen nearly 10 percent through April on a year-over-year basis. If that moderation proves durable, it will then considerable support the global steel prices and blast furnace mill margins.
  • We believe current PLV levels are not only sustainable, but have further upside as the year goes on.

Bear points

  • Unfortunately, PLV-linked business represent only about 15% of our overall Q1 volumes, because a large PLV-linked shipment representing another 6% of overall Q1 volume, slipped into early Q2 due to weather-related logistics backlogs.
  • Our miss for this quarter has all been top line.
  • While we're expecting fuel prices to ultimately subside sometime in the second half, at current levels, the impact on our mining cost is approximately $4 per ton when compared to earlier this year in 26.
Read full transcript analysis ›