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Newmark Group Inc

Newmark Group Inc

NMRK
$15.60USD↓-1.89%-0.30 today

MARKET CAP

2.8B

P/E (TTM)

9.0x

FWD P/E

7.5x

DAY RANGE

$16 – $16

52W RANGE

$12
$20

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

Price is in a Stage 2 corrective reset within a long-term uptrend, offering a bullish medium-term bias but lacking a clear short-term entry trigger. The consolidation tightly tracks rising short EMAs, suggesting pullbacks into the 9/21 EMA zone as structurally favorable support. Volume remains muted on rallies, and RS underperformance versus the market poses a key risk. We will defer execution until a clearer pullback and absorption at EMAs confirm entry readiness.

  • ↑Q1 revenue $846.5M (+27% YoY) and adjusted EPS $0.33 (+57% YoY)
  • ↑Capital markets revenue jumped 45.5%, led by senior and affordable housing deals
  • ↓Leasing and transaction volumes sensitive to economic slowdowns and tough comps
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Newmark Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMRK) is a prominent commercial real estate services firm specializing in leasing, capital markets, and property management across a global footprint. Positioned as a leading player in its sector, Newmark is focused on leveraging strategic initiatives in digital infrastructure, particularly within data centers and advanced manufacturing, while also expanding its presence in the affordable housing market. The company has made significant investments in talent acquisition to enhance operational capabilities and service offerings, indicating a commitment to sustained growth despite market fluctuations.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 revenue $846.5M (+27% YoY) and adjusted EPS $0.33 (+57% YoY)
  • ↑Capital markets revenue jumped 45.5%, led by senior and affordable housing deals
  • ↑Adjusted free cash flow reached $361.5M (+111.7%), covering 82% of adjusted earnings
  • ↑Dividend doubled to $0.06 and repurchased 10.4M shares for $151.1M
  • ↑Expanding data center platform with robust pipeline and AI-driven demand
  • ↑High earnings yield and strong profitability amid controlled volatility

Bear says

  • ↓Leasing and transaction volumes sensitive to economic slowdowns and tough comps
  • ↓Heavy acquisitions and international growth could pressure margins
  • ↓Concentration in data centers and affordable housing heightens segment risk
  • ↓Elevated short interest signals investor skepticism and potential selling pressure
  • ↓Negative growth revisions and adverse rate sensitivity could slow earnings
  • ↓Rising interest rates may curb transaction volume and increase financing costs

Investment themes with NMRK

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM

Earnings Call · Q1 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-31-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • We had a strong start to the year with 21.8% growth in revenues and approximately 40% growth in our earnings metrics. Revenues were $665.5 million compared with $546.5 million.
  • Leasing revenues were up by 31%, driven by strong double-digit growth in office and retail leasing volumes.
  • Capital markets revenues grew by 32.7% as we continued to gain market share. This reflected 62.5% volume improvement with growth across every major property type, including 40% in our GSE FHA origination volumes.

Bear points

  • it is difficult to predict the impact, if any, that tariffs and interest rate volatility may have on our results. For the full year, we expect capital markets revenues to be better than the 9% midpoint of our guidance range, management and servicing to perform roughly consistent with the first quarter, and our leasing business to grow less than the midpoint of our revenue guidance range.
  • We recognize, however, that there are potential geopolitical headwinds that may have a dampening effect on industry activity.
  • The CMBS market has slowed down. Seems like the banks are putting out, bridging the gap at this point.
Read full transcript analysis ›