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/NRC
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National Research Corp

National Research Corp

NRC
$21.78USD-0.73%-0.16 today

MARKET CAP

490.8M

P/E (TTM)

20.7x

FWD P/E

29.6x

DAY RANGE

$21 – $22

52W RANGE

$11
$23

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

In Stage 4 decline, sustained lower highs and lower lows with price under sloping EMAs and moving averages confirms a downtrend. The active Lower Highs & Lower Lows pattern signals supply dominance and bearish control. Absence of mean reversion eligibility further supports a bearish medium-term bias. Tactically, selling into rallies toward the 9/20/50 EMA region is preferred, deferring execution until price approaches structural resistance.

  • Total Recurring Contract Value reached $152M (↑13% YoY)
  • Revenue grew 4% YoY to $35M in Q1 2026
  • Major client concentration exposes revenue to deal losses
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

NRC Health (NASDAQ: NRC) operates as a dominant player within the healthcare insights sector, providing healthcare organizations with essential tools and analytics aimed at enhancing patient experiences and operational efficiencies. The company's extensive suite of services includes experience measurement and engagement solutions, positioning NRC Health as a key strategic partner to numerous U.S. health systems. As healthcare becomes increasingly consumer-driven and data-oriented, NRC Health’s solutions are pivotal in supporting organizations navigating these demands.

Bull says

  • Total Recurring Contract Value reached $152M (↑13% YoY)
  • Revenue grew 4% YoY to $35M in Q1 2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 27%; cost management effective
  • Free cash flow nearly doubled to $5.3M, boosting cash generation
  • $60M share buyback plus $0.16/share dividend underlines shareholder focus
  • AI-driven sentiment analysis and engagement tools expanding service depth

Bear says

  • Major client concentration exposes revenue to deal losses
  • Seasonal survey-driven revenue swings create growth volatility
  • Operational challenges in internal restructuring and AI integration
  • Competitive pressure from Qualtrics-Prescani tie-up and industry consolidations
  • Investor sentiment weak: high short interest and negative growth outlook
  • Low institutional ownership highlights limited confidence from major holders

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 04-30-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Our total recurring contract value, or TRCV, increased 13% year-over-year to an all-time high of $152 million, which is $8 million higher than where we finished Q4 2025.
  • Q1 new sales bookings were up over 200% year over year, driven primarily by a landmark deal I'll describe in a moment.
  • Revenue returned a positive year-over-year growth for the first time since 2023, increasing 4% to $35 million, and we improved our adjusted EBITDA margin sequentially by 2 points to 27%.

Bear points

  • It has maybe slowed a few of our buying processes, but not in any way significantly.
  • First quarter revenue did show a slight sequential decline from Q4 due to seasonality related to conference and point-in-time survey revenue.
  • EBITDA margin was lower than Q1 2025 due to higher operating expenses tied to our executive team expansion, which is now complete, higher corporate expenses due to isolated brand and tax studies, and typical annual merit increases.
Read full transcript analysis ›