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Nutrien Ltd

Nutrien Ltd

NTR
$67.28USD↑+0.27%+0.18 today

MARKET CAP

36.0B

P/E (TTM)

13.6x

FWD P/E

11.0x

DAY RANGE

$67 – $68

52W RANGE

$53
$85

AI Summary

Stalk
Buy NowMedium

NTR is in a Stage 2 advancing corrective reset within a secular uptrend. Active Lockout Rally dynamics maintain urgency-driven upside extension despite overbought readings. Price is holding above rising 9 and 21 EMAs and approaching the 50 DMA, creating favorable pullback entry zones. We are participating now on shallow retracements into the EMAs or at the 50 DMA support.

  • ↑Q1’26 revenue $10.8B (+12% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $1.1B (+30% YoY).
  • ↑Record 3.5 M ton potash shipments; tight supply conditions expected.
  • ↓Rising phosphate and nitrogen input costs may squeeze profit margins.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE: NTR) is a leading integrated provider of crop inputs and services, specializing in the production and distribution of fertilizers including potash, nitrogen, and phosphate. The company operates across the entire agricultural supply chain, leveraging its extensive operational capabilities and distribution network to respond to global demand. Nutrien is well-positioned within the agriculture sector amid the dynamics introduced by geopolitical tensions and the increasing need for sustainable food production.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1’26 revenue $10.8B (+12% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $1.1B (+30% YoY).
  • ↑Record 3.5 M ton potash shipments; tight supply conditions expected.
  • ↑Quarterly dividend of $0.55/sh (1.31% yield) plus $55 M/month share repurchases.
  • ↑2026 capex guidance of $2–2.1 B, focusing on efficiency and high-return projects.
  • ↑High earnings yield, strong momentum, and positive analyst revisions support valuation.
  • ↑Robust liquidity and strong oil sensitivity position Nutrien for macro volatility.

Bear says

  • ↓Rising phosphate and nitrogen input costs may squeeze profit margins.
  • ↓Geopolitical tensions disrupt over 30% of global urea trade flows.
  • ↓Negative profitability metrics and balance sheet vulnerabilities raise caution.
  • ↓High capex commitments risk cash flow under inflationary pressures.
  • ↓Moderate price momentum and elevated volatility could deter investors.
  • ↓Intense competition in crop inputs may constrain long-term growth.

Investment themes with NTR

Fertilizers↑ +0.77%

MOS · NTR · CF
International Value↑ +0.55%

Value-oriented stocks outside domestic markets

MRK · SHEL · SAP
Za Picks↑ +0.20%

VRT · ANET · ARM

Earnings Call · Q1 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-31-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • But it is early in the year, and we are in the middle of the planting season here in North America. And we have a guidance range that we have put out, and we've maintained that guidance range. Now, could we find ourselves, as the year unfolds, in an environment where we're somewhere between the midpoint and the top end of that guidance bridge, we could.
  • And again, we're constructive on what we see for the balance of the year.
  • Again, I go back to the way demand is materializing this year and the global grower and the affordability of crop nutrition as they try and maximize yields. And that's happening in North America as we speak.

Bear points

  • higher natural gas price in North America as well.
  • natural gas prices began the year higher than we anticipated and in more volatile fashion than we anticipated so the majority of the costs that you're referring to in the quarter would have been driven by higher gas prices in north america
  • Retail adjusted EBITDA totaled $46 million as weather-related delays reduced crop input sales in the US and Australia.
Read full transcript analysis ›