The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
Oddity Tech Ltd. (NASDAQ: ODD) operates in the beauty and wellness sector with a direct-to-consumer (DTC) business model. The company has established itself through innovative product offerings and a focus on high-efficacy treatments. Oddity is in a competitive landscape but is striving to leverage technology and improve its customer engagement, particularly through its new telehealth platform, Methodic. As the company navigates challenges related to customer acquisition costs (CPA), it remains committed to enhancing its existing brands—Il Makiage and Spoiled Child—while capitalizing on emerging opportunities in the dermatology and wellness markets.
Bull says
- ↑Q1 2025 revenue grew 25% YOY to $268 M, beating forecasts.
- ↑Q1 cash $667 M funds up-to-$200 M share repurchase program.
- ↑Over 70% of revenue from repeat sales, boosting retention.
- ↑New Methodic telehealth brand projects ~$25 M in annual revenue.
- ↑Positive Growth and Liquidity factors support ongoing expansion funding.
Bear says
- ↓Q1 2026 net revenue declined 26% YOY to $45 M, first orders −50%.
- ↓Momentum factor score severely negative, indicating weakening stock performance.
- ↓QS Score −1.11 signals balance-sheet strain; Goldman cuts PT to $8.
- ↓High customer acquisition costs weigh on margins and user growth.
- ↓Negative Earnings Yield and Revisions factors point to valuation risks.
- ↓Adjusted EBITDA loss of $7 M highlights profitability challenges.
Investment themes with ODD
Stocks with highest short interest
Earnings Call · Q1 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- gross margin was a nice highlight for us in the quarter, with great execution from our teams across a number of areas. As we look longer term, we've talked about the right kind of run rate for our gross margins to be more in the high 60s kind of range.
- we set the tone for the full year by ramping up our acquisition spend, which leads to high visibility backlogs of repeat that drives our full year financial results.
- Net revenue grew 27% to $268 million, exceeding the high end of our guidance for 24% growth to $262 million.
Bear points
- in 2025 we expect there to be something like a 50 to 100 basis point impact on our gross margin from the flow through of tariffs in 2025.