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/ORCL
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Oracle Corp

Oracle Corp

ORCL
$126.41USD↑+1.77%+2.20 today

MARKET CAP

364.1B

P/E (TTM)

16.7x

FWD P/E

15.4x

DAY RANGE

$122 – $128

52W RANGE

$122
$346

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

ORCL is entrenched in a Stage 4 decline with persistent selling pressure per the active Post-Parabola Collapse pattern. Price trades below down-sloping EMAs and shows no stabilization. Medium-term bias is bearish, permitting only sell-side engagement. Short-term price is in a minor bounce that is not yet testing declining EMAs, leading to a neutral execution timing. A deferred sell posture (Trim) is recommended, targeting a rally into the EMA zone for optimal sell entry.

  • ↑Q4 FY26 revenue hit $19.2B (+21% YoY), cloud infra +93%.
  • ↑AI infrastructure revenue jumped 243% YoY; signed $67B contracts.
  • ↓FY27 CapEx forecast ~$70B drives Q4 FCF to –$10B.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) is a leading player in the enterprise software market, specializing in cloud applications, integrated software, and hardware solutions. The company has established a dominant position in artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud infrastructure, leveraging its comprehensive portfolio to meet the growing customer demand for digital transformation and advanced AI capabilities. Oracle's cloud services are increasingly recognized for their integration and efficiency, positioning the company favorably within the technology ecosystem.

Bull says

  • ↑Q4 FY26 revenue hit $19.2B (+21% YoY), cloud infra +93%.
  • ↑AI infrastructure revenue jumped 243% YoY; signed $67B contracts.
  • ↑RPO at $638B (+433% YoY) ensures revenue visibility.
  • ↑Projected AI workload margins of 30–40% support profitability.
  • ↑Active buybacks and dividends underscore shareholder return commitment.
  • ↑Strong profitability score; positive growth and analyst revision trends.

Bear says

  • ↓FY27 CapEx forecast ~$70B drives Q4 FCF to –$10B.
  • ↓Earnings yield negative; $113.97 intrinsic value ~20% below price.
  • ↓Gross margins fell 5 points amid rising infrastructure costs.
  • ↓Elevated short interest signals investor skepticism.
  • ↓Heavy AI reliance increases risk from AWS and Microsoft competition.
  • ↓High volatility and weak quality factor signals heighten risk.

Investment themes with ORCL

Software↓ -1.57%

Cloud-based digital tools powering business productivity and innovation

MSFT · ORCL · PLTR
High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM
High Beta↓ -0.12%

Stocks with high volatility relative to market

AMD · DELL · MPWR

Earnings Call · Q4 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 07-12-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Oracle's future is bright in this new era of cloud computing. Oracle will be the number one cloud database company.
  • Oracle will be the number one cloud applications company.
  • Oracle will be the number one builder and operator of cloud infrastructure data centers.

Bear points

  • No one else is doing that. That makes sense. It's a huge, this is not a small point. This is why our database business is going to grow dramatically.
  • Who else is doing that? Let me answer the question. Nobody.
  • The demand is astronomical.
Read full transcript analysis ›