Lumida
/ORLY
⌘K
O'Reilly Automotive Inc

O'Reilly Automotive Inc

ORLY
$86.05USD↓-0.23%-0.20 today

MARKET CAP

71.3B

P/E (TTM)

28.1x

FWD P/E

24.7x

DAY RANGE

$85 – $88

52W RANGE

$83
$109

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

ORLY remains in a pronounced Stage 4 decline with medium-term bearish bias despite an intact long-term uptrend. Price has pulled back into the downward-sloping 9/21 EMA zone but lacks clear rejection or exhaustion. Execution is deferred; look to sell into resistance upon a failed bounce within the EMA region.

  • ↑Q1 ’26 revenue $4.61 B (+10.2% YoY); comps +8.1%
  • ↑Free cash flow rose to $785 M from $455 M YoY; repurchased $923 M shares
  • ↓Inflation, rising fuel costs may curb customer spending and compress margins
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, and accessories, primarily serving both professional mechanics and do-it-yourself consumers. The company operates over 6,600 stores across the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, positioning itself favorably in the growing automotive repair and maintenance industry, which remains resilient despite consumer inflation pressures and overall economic uncertainty.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 ’26 revenue $4.61 B (+10.2% YoY); comps +8.1%
  • ↑Free cash flow rose to $785 M from $455 M YoY; repurchased $923 M shares
  • ↑Diluted EPS guidance up 16% YoY to $3.15–3.25 for 2026
  • ↑Gained share from weaker independents through superior inventory management
  • ↑Maintained gross margin at 51.5% despite inflation; pricing power intact
  • ↑Quality compounder with high ROE, strong cashflow, positive revisions

Bear says

  • ↓Inflation, rising fuel costs may curb customer spending and compress margins
  • ↓P/E premium to peers may limit upside absent sustained growth
  • ↓Debt/EBITDA ~2.03x signals moderate leverage risk under pressure
  • ↓Technical indicators at resistance ~$94.99; analysts label as moderate sell
  • ↓Negative revisions and momentum factors point to cautious sentiment
  • ↓Rising input costs (healthcare, utilities) threaten gross margin stability

Investment themes with ORLY

SPY↑ +0.09%

NVDA · AAPL · GOOGL
Others↑ +0.32%

Miscellaneous or uncategorized companies

ATAI · SVIX · SVXY

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-01-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • This year, we do believe the combination of an increased in average refund size as well as higher total refund dollars coincided with favorable weather to produce a benefit for our business.
  • we are increasing our full-year diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $3.15 to $3.25.
  • For the first quarter, sales increased $424 million, driven by an 8.1% increase in comparable store sales and a $91 million non-contribution from stores opened in 2025 and 2026, that have not yet entered the comp base.

Bear points

  • Rapid increases in fuel costs have the potential to impact consumer spending, even in predominantly non-discretionary sectors like our industry.
  • sustained inflation pressure on the consumer or potential for future shocks could create volatility in demand.
Read full transcript analysis ›