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TBLA

TBLA

TBLA
$5.28USD↓-2.40%-0.13 today

MARKET CAP

1.4B

P/E (TTM)

9.8x

FWD P/E

8.2x

DAY RANGE

$5 – $5

52W RANGE

$3
$6

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

TBLA remains in a Stage 2 advancing regime with long- and medium-term trends bullish, but a recent Bullish Exhaustion candle at new highs, overbought RSI, and price extended above the 9/21/50 EMAs signal near-term fatigue. Execution is deferred—waiting for a pullback into rising EMAs or prior resistance turned support around the breakout zone before engaging.

  • ↑Q1 revenue $466.4M, up 9% YoY, beating high-end guidance.
  • ↑FY26 revenue guided at $2.0–$2.06B driven by Realize platform.
  • ↓$13M foreign-exchange headwind in Q1 may curb margins.
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The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Taboola Inc. (NASDAQ: TBLA) is a performance advertising company that focuses on connecting advertisers with users across the open web. Utilizing proprietary intent data and artificial intelligence, Taboola's innovative platform, Realize, enables advertisers to achieve measurable outcomes through performance-driven advertising strategies. Operating outside the realms of traditional search and social platforms, Taboola is positioning itself to capitalize on the growing demand for effective digital advertising solutions amidst a shift toward performance marketing.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 revenue $466.4M, up 9% YoY, beating high-end guidance.
  • ↑FY26 revenue guided at $2.0–$2.06B driven by Realize platform.
  • ↑Q1 free cash flow $90.3M with 16% adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • ↑$23.5M share repurchases in Q1 signal shareholder focus.
  • ↑Scaled advertisers up 3.5%, underpinning revenue stability.
  • ↑High earnings yield and strong profitability factors support upside.

Bear says

  • ↓$13M foreign-exchange headwind in Q1 may curb margins.
  • ↓Revenue relies on advertisers spending >$100K, raising churn risk.
  • ↓Average spend per advertiser grew just 2%, showing weak monetization.
  • ↓Heavy buybacks could limit investments in growth initiatives.
  • ↓Google and Meta competition threatens market share gains.
  • ↓High price volatility and negative quality signals deter cautious investors.

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-12-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • In the first quarter, revenues grew 9% year over year to $466.4 million. We remain focused on increasing advertiser investments through Realize, our performance advertising platform.
  • This was evident in our first quarter scaled advertiser metrics, which showed a 3.5% rise in the number of scaled advertisers and a 5% increase in average revenue per scaled advertiser.
  • XTAC gross profit increased 11% year-on-year to $168.1 million in the first quarter. Growth was primarily driven by higher advertising spend, largely supported by the scaling of Realize, as well as strong performance from Taboola News and Bidded Supply.

Bear points

  • Foreign exchange was a meaningful headwind in the quarter. In aggregate, FX represented roughly a $4.7 million headwind to the first quarter adjusted EBITDA. We expect FX to remain the headwind for the remainder of 2026.
  • The Israeli shekel will impact our OPEX by about $13 million this year. It's a $13 million headwind.
  • I wouldn't say we're adding more of those at this point.
Read full transcript analysis ›