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TJX Companies Inc

TJX Companies Inc

TJX
$154.46USD↓-0.21%-0.33 today

MARKET CAP

170.6B

P/E (TTM)

30.9x

FWD P/E

28.9x

DAY RANGE

$154 – $158

52W RANGE

$121
$170

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

TJX remains in a Stage 4 decline with lower highs and lower lows holding below its falling EMAs and 50-day SMA. The medium-term bias is bearish under the Stage 4 framework and active Lower Highs & Lower Lows pattern, while short-term timing is neutral as price pulls back into overhead EMAs without clear rejection. Under the Stable strategy, disciplined sell-side engagement should be deferred into rallies back toward the descending EMAs and 50-day SMA for structured rejection.

  • ↑EPS $1.19 topped $1.02 estimate; revenue rose 9.2% to $14.32 B.
  • ↑Same-store sales climbed 6% in Q4, lifting customer transactions.
  • ↓Negative earnings yield and premium valuation vs peers prompt downgrades.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

TJX Companies, Inc. (NYSE:TJX) is a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions, operating a portfolio of recognized brands including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, and Sierra. The company is dominant in the off-price retail segment, leveraging its extensive vendor relationships and flexible merchandise sourcing strategies to attract a diverse clientele. As inflationary pressures shift consumer spending, TJX's value-driven model positions it as a go-to destination for cost-conscious shoppers.

Bull says

  • ↑EPS $1.19 topped $1.02 estimate; revenue rose 9.2% to $14.32 B.
  • ↑Same-store sales climbed 6% in Q4, lifting customer transactions.
  • ↑ROE 55.7% and pre-tax margin 12% underscore solid profitability.
  • ↑Committed $2.75–3 B in buybacks and dividends for fiscal-year 27.
  • ↑Targeting younger shoppers and opening ~1,700 new stores globally.
  • ↑High profitability factors, strong quality score, positive institutional backing.

Bear says

  • ↓Negative earnings yield and premium valuation vs peers prompt downgrades.
  • ↓Rising fuel costs threaten gross margins if hedges underperform.
  • ↓Inventory up 14% risks overstock and markdown pressure.
  • ↓Weak revisions factors signal declining analyst confidence.
  • ↓Intense discount competition may squeeze pricing and market share.
  • ↓Elevated volatility risk highlights potential for larger share swings.

Investment themes with TJX

Quality↑ +0.54%

Companies with strong fundamentals and stability

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Earnings Call · Q1 2027 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-20-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • I am extremely pleased with our excellent first quarter results. First quarter sales, profitability, and earnings per share were all well above our expectations.
  • Overall comp sales were up an outstanding 6 percent.
  • With our above-planned first quarter sales, we are raising our four-year sales and profitability outlook.

Bear points

  • We did not flow the entire first quarter pre-tax profit and earnings per share beat to the full year as we are now planning current fuel prices to remain in place for the rest of the year.
  • we did not flow the entire first quarter pre-tax profit and earnings per share beat to the full year as we are now planning current fuel prices to remain in place for the rest of the year.
  • we did not flow the entire first quarter pre-tax profit and earnings per share beat to the full year as we are now planning current fuel prices to remain in place for the rest of the year.
Read full transcript analysis ›