Lumida
/TKO
⌘K
TKO Group Holdings Inc

TKO Group Holdings Inc

TKO
$185.13USD↑+0.19%+0.35 today

MARKET CAP

35.4B

P/E (TTM)

69.1x

FWD P/E

33.2x

DAY RANGE

$183 – $188

52W RANGE

$152
$227

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

TKO is in a clear Stage 4 decline with a bearish medium-term bias reinforced by a Support Failure pattern and price trading below key EMAs; short-term timing favors selling into resistance, with no signs of exhaustion or basing to suggest a reversal.

  • ↑Q1 2026 revenue rose 26% YoY to $1.597 B and Adj EBITDA grew 32% to $550 M.
  • ↑UFC’s $7.7 B Paramount and WWE’s $1.6 B ESPN rights deals add high-margin recurring cash.
  • ↓Stock trades at P/E 69.46 vs sector, implying overvaluation.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: TKO) operates as a leading global sports and entertainment organization, primarily focused on the management and promotion of its core brands, UFC and WWE. The company leverages extensive media rights, live events, and partnerships to cultivate a massive audience while maximizing revenue streams. As part of the premium sports entertainment ecosystem, TKO stands out for its unique positioning amidst increasing consumer demand for live sporting experiences and premium content.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 2026 revenue rose 26% YoY to $1.597 B and Adj EBITDA grew 32% to $550 M.
  • ↑UFC’s $7.7 B Paramount and WWE’s $1.6 B ESPN rights deals add high-margin recurring cash.
  • ↑Announced $1 B share buyback, boosting returns amid $675 M free cash flow.
  • ↑WrestleMania 42 drew 106 k fans, highlighting resilient live-event demand.
  • ↑Strong growth factors, attractive dividend yield, low volatility and high institutional ownership.
  • ↑Management balancing fan experience with monetization to unlock event upside.

Bear says

  • ↓Stock trades at P/E 69.46 vs sector, implying overvaluation.
  • ↓Dividend payout ratio of 117.9% threatens sustainability amid weak earnings yield.
  • ↓Event revenue swings with scheduling; mixed calendar impacts add volatility.
  • ↓Rising fighter compensation costs (bonuses doubled) could compress margins.
  • ↓Regulatory risks in new markets like Azerbaijan may hamper expansion.
  • ↓Negative profitability factors and high short interest signal downside pressure.

Investment themes with TKO

SPY↑ +0.09%

NVDA · AAPL · GOOGL
Quality Bubble↑ +0.65%

High valuation companies with quality characteristics

TSLA · COST · PLTR

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-09-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Thanks, Seth. 2026 is off to a formidable start, especially considering the macro environment.
  • The key growth drivers we outlined in February, media rights, live events and experiences, global partnerships, and financial incentive packages, all delivered as planned in the first quarter in line with our guidance.
  • As AI transforms how content is created and consumed, the value of our IP and properties increases.

Bear points

  • The decrease was due to lower revenue from financial incentive packages, driven by the aforementioned Saudi Arabia event, partially offset by an increase in ticket sales.
  • we expect to lose approximately $30 million on this event.
Read full transcript analysis ›