The case for & against
Bull & Bear analysis
Twist Bioscience Corporation (NASDAQ: TWST) is a leading biotechnology company specializing in synthetic DNA production and next-generation sequencing (NGS) applications. By leveraging its proprietary silicon-based DNA synthesis technology, Twist provides innovative solutions across various sectors, including drug discovery, diagnostics, and synthetic biology. Positioned at the forefront of the rapidly advancing AI-enhanced drug discovery market, Twist’s expansive capabilities attract a diverse clientele ranging from major pharmaceutical firms to academic research institutions.
Bull says
- ↑Q2 2026 revenue +19.3% YoY to $110.7 M, DNA solutions +28%.
- ↑Gross margin expanded to 51.6% with adjusted EBITDA breakeven expected in Q4.
- ↑AI-driven drug discovery orders grew >$25 M vs. FY 2024, boosting customer demand.
- ↑Ended Q2 with $171.7 M cash and short-term investments for runway.
- ↑Analyst price targets raised from $38 to $82.50, signaling bullish revisions.
- ↑Proprietary silicon-based DNA tech underpins strong growth and high liquidity.
Bear says
- ↓Negative earnings yield and weak profitability metrics question ROI sustainability.
- ↓Operating expenses rose to $95.8 M, risking margin compression if growth stalls.
- ↓Top 10 customers account for ~36% of NGS revenue, concentration risk.
- ↓Short interest at 0.38 and high volatility suggest investor skepticism.
- ↓Academic funding pressures may create Q4 $5 M revenue air pocket.
- ↓Low institutional ownership and sensitivity to rising rates amplify downside risk.
Investment themes with TWST
Genetic and drug innovations driving medical breakthroughs
Earnings Call · Q2 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance
Transcript signals
Bull points
- We know there's about a $1.4 billion opportunity to convert the makers into buyers, which is underpinned by economics and speed, making the value proposition start to resonate strongly.
- So we continue to be very, very optimistic and bullish looking forward.
- So we did announce that we expect to be adjusted EBITDA positive by the end of fiscal 2026, with a clear path to that following the Atlas announcement.
Bear points
- be understanding and respectful of the fact that there is uncertainty and we have baked in what we know today around the tariffs.
- However, since May of 2023, we have intentionally constrained our spending in DNA data storage to keep twist over our investment in this business to less than $25 million annually.
- Operating expenses excluding cost of revenues for the second quarter were approximately $87.6 million compared to approximately $79.8 million in the same period of 2024, driven by a $5.5 million increase in non-cash stock-based compensation.