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/USAR
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USAR

USAR

USAR
$15.65USD↓-1.63%-0.26 today

MARKET CAP

3.8B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$15 – $16

52W RANGE

$11
$44

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

USAR remains entrenched in a Stage 4 decline with a decisive support failure and successive lower highs and lows under down-sloping EMAs. Despite extreme oversold readings, there is no clear sign of a reversal, so the focus is on trimming into relief rallies—fading short-term bounces into resistance—rather than adding to shorts at current levels.

  • ↑Planned Cerro Verde deal secures critical mining asset outside Asia.
  • ↑$1.75B liquidity underpins operational scaling and magnet manufacturing build-out.
  • ↓Q1 net loss of $67M ($0.34/sh) and $8.8M operating loss signal ongoing losses.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

USA Rare Earth (NASDAQ: USAR) is emerging as a dominant player in the rare earth elements sector, focusing on building a fully integrated supply chain from mining to magnet manufacturing. The company is part of the broader theme of securing critical minerals necessary for technological advancements and national security, especially in light of escalating geopolitical tensions and the need for domestic production capabilities independent of (and in contrast to) reliance on Chinese sources.

Bull says

  • ↑Planned Cerro Verde deal secures critical mining asset outside Asia.
  • ↑$1.75B liquidity underpins operational scaling and magnet manufacturing build-out.
  • ↑Q1 revenue ~$6M with production ramp through 2026 boosting sales.
  • ↑Anticipated $1.6B U.S. government funding supports domestic rare earth output.
  • ↑Rising demand from defense, EV and aerospace drives a robust customer pipeline.
  • ↑Strong factor profile: high earnings revisions, solid dividend yield, active liquidity.

Bear says

  • ↓Q1 net loss of $67M ($0.34/sh) and $8.8M operating loss signal ongoing losses.
  • ↓High leverage score reflects debt burden that may strain cash under stress.
  • ↓Management withheld guidance, underscoring uncertainty in ramp-up execution.
  • ↓Integrating Cerro Verde poses operational and cultural challenges.
  • ↓Dependence on favorable contracts amid geopolitical volatility risks revenue.
  • ↓Weak factor profile: negative earnings yield, poor profitability factors, high short interest.

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Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-14-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • We are actively expanding our operations at LCM to meet the growing demand for metals and alloys and expect revenue to increase at LCM throughout 2026.
  • we expect gross margins at LCM to improve as utilization at the UK facility increases throughout the year.
  • we are ramping magnet capacity to reach a run rate of 600 metric tons per annum by year end.

Bear points

  • We reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $67 million or a loss per share of 34 cents.
  • This includes a non-cash fair value adjustment of $43.6 million related to our warrant and earn-out liabilities.
Read full transcript analysis ›