Vista Energy SAB de CV

VIST remains entrenched in a Stage 4 decline with confirmed lower highs and lower lows. Price is trading below the falling 9 EMA, 20 EMA, and 50 DMA, and recent rallies into these dynamic resistance zones have consistently failed. Under the Momentum + EPS strategy, selling into bounces at the EMAs offers optimal execution probabilities, while waiting to avoid selling into temporary support.

• ↑Q1 production 135k BOE/d (+67% YoY) drove $394M revenue (+58%).
• ↑Adjusted EBITDA jumped to $451M (+64% YoY); 2026 guidance at $2.3–2.9B.
• ↓Q1 free cash flow deficit $341M highlights liquidity strain from one-offs.