Lumida
/VSAT
⌘K
Viasat Inc

Viasat Inc

VSAT
$71.48USD↑+4.03%+2.77 today

MARKET CAP

9.8B

P/E (TTM)

—

FWD P/E

—

DAY RANGE

$65 – $74

52W RANGE

$14
$93

AI Summary

Stalk
TrimMedium

VSAT is in Stage 3 distribution with a bearish medium-term posture driven by repeated EMA rejections and high-volume distribution days. Short-term timing is neutral as price trades below declining short-term EMAs without clear exhaustion signals. We will trim exposure on rallies into the EMA/resistance zone, respecting the broader distribution structure while acknowledging the intact long-term uptrend.

  • ↑Generated ~$600M free cash flow in FY26, positive five quarters running.
  • ↑Backlog reached $4.1B (+15% YoY), with $1.2B in Q4 FY26 awards.
  • ↓Analysts see ~26% overvaluation, heightening risk of stock pullback.
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT) is a leading player in the satellite communication sector specializing in broadband services for various markets, including commercial aviation, maritime, and government sectors. The company is enhancing its competitive positioning through significant investments in its forthcoming Viasat-3 satellite constellation, which aims to deliver greater bandwidth and improved service capabilities. With a focus on both consumer and defense applications, Viasat is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced connectivity solutions.

Bull says

  • ↑Generated ~$600M free cash flow in FY26, positive five quarters running.
  • ↑Backlog reached $4.1B (+15% YoY), with $1.2B in Q4 FY26 awards.
  • ↑DAT revenues up 12% YoY, driven by rising government defense spending.
  • ↑Viasat-3 satellites will triple bandwidth capacity, boosting aviation and gov’t SATCOM.
  • ↑Equitas cost-sharing initiative expected to drive infrastructure efficiencies and margins.
  • ↑Strong momentum and high liquidity indicate robust investor interest.

Bear says

  • ↓Analysts see ~26% overvaluation, heightening risk of stock pullback.
  • ↓Fixed broadband revenues declined, pressure persists until Viasat-3 service starts.
  • ↓High short interest signals bearish sentiment and potential volatility spike.
  • ↓Delays in Viasat-3 launches threaten revenue timing and growth forecasts.
  • ↓Elevated capex strains profitability and cash flow if efficiencies lag.
  • ↓Weak earnings yield and low profitability factors suggest return challenges.

Investment themes with VSAT

Space↓ -0.99%

PL · GSAT · VSAT

Earnings Call · Q4 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 05-29-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • Our fiscal 2025 was a pivotal year, creating the foundation for multi-year accelerated growth and sustained cash flow through increased earnings and decreasing capital intensity.
  • We're pleased with our operational performance and very appreciative of the accomplishments of our team towards our strategic goals that we set for the year.
  • We met or beat our guidance metrics, achieved record new contract awards growth, made significant progress on our capital structure, integrated the first Biosat-3, Biosat-1 into our global network, demonstrating the expected benefits to user experience and network efficiency.

Bear points

  • Any future cash payments from Legato have been excluded from our financial outlook, and they remain as upside.
  • Our U.S. fixed broadband revenue continued to be challenged with capacity constraints.
  • we expect modest revenue growth with flattish adjusted EBITDA, which we expect will be plus or minus 1%. from the $1,547,000,000 delivered in fiscal 25.
Read full transcript analysis ›