Lumida
/SMPL
⌘K
Simply Good Foods Co

Simply Good Foods Co

SMPL
$11.08USD-8.20%-0.99 today

MARKET CAP

980.1M

P/E (TTM)

6.4x

FWD P/E

6.4x

DAY RANGE

$11 – $12

52W RANGE

$10
$34

AI Summary

Stalk
StalkMedium

SMPL remains in a Stage 2 advancing phase with a clear series of higher highs and lows and a rising 50-day MA, but recent Bullish Exhaustion at the July peak and failure to hold above short-term EMAs have pushed price into extreme oversold territory. Medium-term bullish bias remains intact, supported by Stage 2 structure and rising intermediate moving averages, however short-term timing is unfavorable. Execution should be deferred until price demonstrates supportive behavior, such as reclaiming short-term EMAs or stabilizing near the 50-day MA, before considering buying into this pullback.

  • Q3 EPS $0.42 vs $0.36 est; revenue $356.98M vs $339.31M est
  • Cost-efficiency initiatives aim to rebuild EBITDA margins
  • Q3 net loss $198.8M; basic EPS ‑$0.58; TTM EPS ‑$2.08
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bearish

Simply Good Foods (NASDAQ:SMPL) is a leading player in the nutritional foods sector, known for its popular Atkins and Quest brands. The company functions within the health and wellness theme, particularly focusing on providing lower-carb and high-protein food options. While Simply Good Foods has a solid market presence, it faces significant challenges, including intense competition and rising input costs, which have impacted its sales and profitability recently.

Bull says

  • Q3 EPS $0.42 vs $0.36 est; revenue $356.98M vs $339.31M est
  • Cost-efficiency initiatives aim to rebuild EBITDA margins
  • Liquidity ratio ~1.92 supports short-term obligations
  • Insider buying signals management’s confidence in recovery
  • Book-to-price ~1.75 suggests potential undervaluation
  • Low volatility profile appeals to risk-averse investors

Bear says

  • Q3 net loss $198.8M; basic EPS ‑$0.58; TTM EPS ‑$2.08
  • Net sales fell 6.3% YoY; Atkins brand declined 24.6%
  • Adjusted EBITDA down 22.5% year-over-year
  • Negative profitability and low earnings yield limit returns
  • Weak growth momentum with negative revisions signals risk
  • Intense competition and rising input costs pressure margins

Earnings Call · Q3 2025 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 07-12-2026neutral

Transcript signals

Read full transcript analysis ›