Willis Lease Finance Corp

WLFC is in a Stage 3 distribution phase marked by a decisive support failure below the 50 DMA and a down-sloping EMA regime, confirming accelerating distribution. The medium-term bias is clearly bearish, and only sell-side participation on rallies into the 9/21/50 EMAs aligns with structure. Short-term momentum is negative, so selling now on any bounce toward moving-average resistance offers optimal execution. A sustained regain and acceptance above the EMAs would invalidate this bearish stance.

• ↑Q1 revenue hit $77.4M (+14.2% QoQ), 35% above estimates
• ↑Adjusted EBITDA reached $124M (+19.9% YoY), supporting $0.40 dividend
• ↓Elevated leverage risk with high debt amid rising rates