Lumida
/YUM
⌘K
Yum! Brands Inc

Yum! Brands Inc

YUM
$147.92USD↓-2.75%-4.18 today

MARKET CAP

40.8B

P/E (TTM)

23.7x

FWD P/E

20.7x

DAY RANGE

$148 – $157

52W RANGE

$137
$170

AI Summary

Stalk
Sell NowMedium

YUM is in a confirmed Stage 4 decline with bearish medium-term bias. Price has decisively broken below all major moving averages on expanding volume and failed to show exhaustion despite oversold readings. Short-term conditions favor immediate bearish participation into the declining 9/21/50 EMA cluster, aligning with the active Support Failure pattern suggesting accelerated downside.

  • ↑Q1 system sales $3.4B (+6% YoY); Taco Bell comp +8%, KFC int’l comp +7%
  • ↑Digital sales reached $11B (63% mix), boosting engagement and efficiency
  • ↓Negative earnings yield and weak growth factors warn of low returns
Full analysis →

The case for & against

Bull & Bear analysis

Bullish

Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE: YUM) is a leading global quick-service restaurant (QSR) company operating well-known brands such as Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut. The company focuses heavily on innovation and digital integration, enhancing customer engagement while expanding its international footprint through an asset-light franchise model. With a robust presence in over 155 countries, Yum! Brands is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing trends towards convenience dining and digital services.

Bull says

  • ↑Q1 system sales $3.4B (+6% YoY); Taco Bell comp +8%, KFC int’l comp +7%
  • ↑Digital sales reached $11B (63% mix), boosting engagement and efficiency
  • ↑Announced $4B share repurchase to enhance shareholder returns
  • ↑Targeting 24.5–25.5% Taco Bell margins despite inflation pressures
  • ↑Aiming for $3M avg unit volumes in U.S. via Taco Bell and KFC expansion
  • ↑High profitability and dividend factors with low leverage risk

Bear says

  • ↓Negative earnings yield and weak growth factors warn of low returns
  • ↓High volatility factors reflect substantial stock price swings
  • ↓Analyst earnings revisions trending down signal cautious outlook
  • ↓Beef inflation headwinds may erode restaurant-level margins
  • ↓Pizza Hut strategic review and ~250 closures add execution uncertainty
  • ↓Emerging fast-casual competition could pressure long-term market share

Investment themes with YUM

High Dividend Yield↑ +0.32%

Companies paying above-average dividends

AVGO · JPM · XOM

Earnings Call · Q1 2026 · Mgmt. Guidance

Updated 04-29-2026bullish

Transcript signals

Bull points

  • in the first quarter, YUM system sales grew 6%.
  • We grew new units by 5% and same-store sales globally at 3%.
  • Digital sales approached $11 billion, with digital mix reaching a new high, now at 63%.

Bear points

  • While the Middle East conflict creates uncertainty globally, the impact on development has thus far been relatively minor and has included short-term delays to obtain government permits and procure equipment in select markets, such as the UAE and Turkey.
  • we expect approximately $5 million of non-cash closure expenses for Habit as we opportunistically optimize our store network by making a small number of closures in subscale markets.
Read full transcript analysis ›